Strong Tornadoes Possible Today - MS Round 2

Mesoscale Discussion 0359
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Areas affected...Central and Southern Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 262006Z - 262200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat will rapidly increase in the next few hours
across parts of Mississippi. Very large hail and tornadoes will be
possible. A new watch will be issued within the hour.

DISCUSSION...Strong heating has been occurring today across central
and southern MS, where temperatures have risen well into the 80s. A
surface warm front is lifting northward across the region, allowing
70s dewpoints to spread into central MS. This is yielding MLCAPE
values around 3000 J/kg with minimal cap. Several intense
severe/supercell storms have developed over western/central LA that
will track eastward into MS beginning after 4pm. Other isolated
cells are likely to form out ahead of this activity through the
evening.

Forecast soundings indicate an environment very favorable for
discrete supercells capable of very large hail and tornadoes.
Low-level winds will strengthen rapidly by late afternoon/early
evening. This may also increase the risk of strong tornadoes -
especially for those storms that can track in vicinity of the
surface warm front.

A tornado watch will be issued within the hour.

..Hart/Guyer.. 03/26/2023

Ryan Hall Y'all is going live in few minutes with teams down on the ground.



Last Edited by Deplorable Zenobia on 03/26/2023 04:44 PM

:tornado: pick the one ya wanna die with...

Ryan is LIVE

Oh No Not Again!

CAPE 5000 coming up from the GoM!
Doesn't get much higher than that, a real keg of dynamite.
Low-level jet is forecast to kick in after dark.
A real precarious setup for a break out of strong tornadoes in about 3 hours.

We just got a heck of a lightning show and hail here in Northwest Indiana. The storm is just getting started, but I am not too worried, as it is 43 degrees outside, way too cold for a tornado.

Chaser reports tornado near Elizabeth, LA
Starting to wind up

Reed LIVE
Getting in position, weak but large tornado

Jackson, MS about to get slammed
2" hail, 70 mph winds