Hurricane Ian: SC - NC Edition

https://twitter.com/_/status/1575644152053653506

Hurricane Hunters sampling #Ian this evening have found the storm to be strengthening, arguably more than what was expected from this morning's forecasts, w/ SFMR of up to ~ 75 kts (85 mph) in #Ian's NW quadrant.
#ncwx #scwx

Last Edited by FireFleye on 09/29/2022 10:44 PM

Eric Webb 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
@webberweather
·
2h
Replying to
@webberweather
For the Carolinas, I'm more concerned about wx impacts than I was this morning, esp for the Pee Dee region of SC into east-central NC. The combo of heavy rain leading to saturated ground + wind gusts of 50-60+ mph will favor 🌳 falling onto power lines/power outages

#scwx #ncwx

https://twitter.com/_/status/1575648449898291200

Stay safe. It's going to get ugly.

I use this to stalk hurricanes and movement and wind km per hour!

[link to earth.nullschool.net (secure)]

I find it interesting the increase in wind speed today!!

I also find it interesting that forecasts in SC still don’t know exactly WTH is going on!!!

They are steering Ian!!! And maximizing it!!!!

The most recent storm to affect South Carolina was Hurricane Florence. Florence made landfall at Wrightsville Beach on September 13, 2018.

9.13.2018 - 9.30.2022 = 1478 days


1478 = 20 | Genesis 49:4 = 53 _ (73)10 = 1

Unstable as water, thou shalt not excel; because thou wentest up to thy father's bed; then defiledst thou it: he went up to my couch.

Thread: Let him that hath understanding count the number (Page 4)

000
WTNT34 KNHC 300249
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...IAN EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING, STORM SURGE AND
STRONG WINDS IN THE CAROLINAS TOMORROW...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 79.3W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

. . .

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located
near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 79.3 West. Ian is moving toward
the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north
is expected early Friday, followed by a turn toward the
north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night. On
the forecast track, Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on
Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas
Friday night and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Ian could strengthen a little more before
landfall tomorrow, and is forecast to rapidly weaken over the
southeastern United States late Friday into Saturday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles
(665 km). A sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) with a gust of 64
mph (104 km/h) was recently reported west of the center by a NOAA
and Saildrone Inc. research mission vessel.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 986 mb (29.12 inches).
. . .

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

The forecast confidence was low. A decision will be made whether to extend warnings up the NC coast. Latest 11 PM
advisory was winds of 80 mph. Some more strengthening is
forecast due to the warm trough waters, however dry air and
some sheer are to the west. At least Charleston has the Battery........

UPDATE 11:15

124
WTNT64 KNHC 300311
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1115 PM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IAN A LITTLE
STRONGER...

Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Ian's maximum winds have increased to near 85 mph (140
km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1115 PM EDT...0315 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 79.3W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Berg
[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Awful.

https://twitter.com/_/status/1575664113643945984

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

FAKE!!!

The wildcard with this system is storm surge, because that largely depends on
where and when it makes landfall. On the current forecast track the worst surge
would hit closer to Myrtle Beach, which is less susceptible to surge compared to
Charleston. It would also hit a couple hours after high tide, but closer to high tide
than low tide. Worst case scenario is if it moves more northwest than currently
forecast. That would put the worst surge closer to more vulnerable Charleston or
McClellansville. However, it would have to move faster to make landfall close to
high tide. One other factor is that they are currently experiencing "King tides",
which result in higher than normal high tides.

I’ve got family in Monks Corner
Theyre on Lake Moultrie. They get some pretty nasty storms there. Granny loses the dock every few years.
They were filling sandbags a few days ago.

Interesting product.. hit play!

https://twitter.com/_/status/1575670700651724800

power went out.. NC/SC border area.

bout 20 minutes...winds constant .but not strong...lots of untrimmed trees..so probably what got the lines..

I'm on the Georgia coast and it has not rained here at any time. So I guess we are on the "dry" side of the storm.

Getting some pretty stiff gusts for several hours now. The weirdest thing to me is how cool it is. I am surprised with it being about 57 degrees that it could even gain wind strength. First hurricane for me that it's been this cold in September and be watching for a storm.

Yes, I'm on the FL line. I thought it it was extremely odd for it to be 60 degrees with a hurricane on the way.

A cold front just came thru. The warm ocean water fuels the storm. No eye but still packing a punch.

I'm in mount pleasant and well prepared. The bridges will be shut down by daylight but if yours or anyone needs anything east of the cooper let me know and I can help.

For except we had lingered

Meaning, If we hadn't delayed, we would have already been there a second time.


" so we've seen it come up, across the Florida peninsula, a little bit quicker, closer to eighteen hours spent overland instead of twenty four hours, this has both good and bad consequences"

the bad news, more time over water to rentensify

1:00 minute -

Hey neighbor, I'm in Mt Pleasant too. Carolina Park at the north side of Mt P. BTW, we're looking to move to Simpsonville and buy a farm. Too many libtard fuckheads around Mt Pleasant.
Upstate way more conservative minded folks.

I'm in wando lakes behind the cvs at Mathis ferry. My daughter goes to wando. Have a couple friends on maidstone and banning in Carolina park. Stay safe neighbor.