Hurricane Ian Info | |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 10:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TeknaBuzz
User ID: 80744333 United States 09/26/2022 10:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Something is wrong here.. been tracking hurricanes for over 40yrs. Never seen a model like this. AI? Edit..it's too concentrated. It's technically one model. The ensembles of 1 model. The black line represents the mean average of all the ensembles. Have you been tracking from under a rock? TeknaBuzz |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 10:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
The Empress
User ID: 82628509 United States 09/26/2022 10:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Room222
User ID: 83087726 United States 09/26/2022 10:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Something is wrong here.. been tracking hurricanes for over 40yrs. Never seen a model like this. AI? Edit..it's too concentrated. It's technically one model. The ensembles of 1 model. The black line represents the mean average of all the ensembles. Have you been tracking from under a rock? No, just old skool. Compass, chart , sextant stuff..ya know. "People are stupid;they will believe a lie because they want to believe it's true, or because they are afraid it might be true" |
The Empress
User ID: 82628509 United States 09/26/2022 10:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn.... Like Charley? Look familiar? Ian path similar to 2004's Hurricane Charley [link to www-wesh-com.cdn.ampproject.org (secure)] I think it's Charley 2.0 too, but NO ONE seems to want to say it. My daughter that lives in Charleston SC was talking about going back to Charlotte because she is afraid of tornadoes the storm could spawn down there. I told her to stay in Charleston. I also agree with Charley 2.0 |
Jumping Jack Flash
User ID: 84211235 United States 09/26/2022 10:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn.... The TVA and Smoky Mtn dam system was designed for a 100 year flood, thought to be 20" of rain. A fast moving storm wouldn't be an issue with say 10", but a slow moving or stalled storm, held in place by high pressure systems, could easily dump more than the 20" design basis. That's just what happened in 1969 when Camille stalled over Nelson County, VA. Put is this way: birds were found drowned in trees. Total rainfall for the event is not known, but they know it was at least 38 inches, only because a farmer had set out empty barrels that he was going to fill the next day for watering his animals. The barrels were full and 38" tall. When, not if, the 100 year 20" flood occurs, and any one of the high head mountain dams do fail, any other dams down stream would also be breached and fail. The problem with that is there are 7 TVA nuclear plants sited along the Tennessee River. Just remember that in the 1930's when the TVA system of dams was built, designed for a 100 year flood, they never even heard of nuclear power, much less envisioned 7 nukes sitting in the banks of the Tennessee. Some may argue that the 20" hypothetical flood thought to be a 100 year event in the 1930's when designed, is now more like a 50 year flood due to climate change. Whether you believe in climate change or not, 20" is 20" regardless of how often it happens, and it would spell nuclear disaster for the southeastern US. Can't happen? The Sequoyah Nuclear plant was built with an underwater dike to retain a limited cooling pool in the event the Chickamauga dam were ever to fail. So those designers deemed it probable enough to go to the trouble of constructing the dike. Can't happen? really? talk to Fukushima operators and get their take on it. I don't know how high water would get if one or more upstream dams failed. But I wouldn't want to test it to find out. There is a similar precarious situation in south Carolina at the Oconee nuclear plant, which is also potentially in Ian's path. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78512931 United States 09/26/2022 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Palm harbor here. Fuck the BS. Not moving Spaghetti models shows it all [link to spaghettimodels.com (secure)] |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 10:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
The Empress
User ID: 82628509 United States 09/26/2022 10:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn.... WNC here. People don't get how we get such bad flooding in the mountains. Years ago we had Francis (I believe) and Ivan right after. Last year it was Fred as a tropical storm. They are downgraded to tropical storms by the time they get to us, but the rain and wind is insane coming out if the gulf. |
Jagsbch
User ID: 79051161 United States 09/26/2022 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It's trending eastward; folks in Cocoa Beach and Daytona will get the brunt on the east coast it seems. Naples could get slaughtered Last Edited by Jagsbch on 09/26/2022 11:05 PM "Feed my sheep" |
TeknaBuzz
User ID: 80744333 United States 09/26/2022 10:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Alsabiades
User ID: 79121425 United States 09/26/2022 10:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 83846896 United States 09/26/2022 10:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Alsabiades
User ID: 79121425 United States 09/26/2022 10:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 81031794 09/26/2022 10:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video [link to www.tiktok.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79373377 United States 09/26/2022 10:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 82310284 United States 09/26/2022 10:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Jagsbch
User ID: 79051161 United States 09/26/2022 10:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://twitter.com/_/status/1574589601448357888 Last Edited by Jagsbch on 09/26/2022 10:45 PM "Feed my sheep" |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 80257640 United States 09/26/2022 10:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Jagsbch
User ID: 79051161 United States 09/26/2022 10:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 10:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79373377 United States 09/26/2022 10:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | In Central FL. I don't see much movement in the cone. It should narrow, but I think they dont know what it will do. I'm staying in and bugging in. Gotta protect my stuff, family and preps. Last time we had so many looters. Not going to happen this time. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80257640 IF I WERE YOU I WOULD STAND OUTSIDE AND GIVE AWAY ALL MY BELONGINGS BECAUSE YOU WON'T BE THERE ANYWAY IF YOU DON'T LEAVE SOON!!! GET OUT!!! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78714632 United States 09/26/2022 10:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81031794 [link to www.tiktok.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78714632 United States 09/26/2022 10:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | In Central FL. I don't see much movement in the cone. It should narrow, but I think they dont know what it will do. I'm staying in and bugging in. Gotta protect my stuff, family and preps. Last time we had so many looters. Not going to happen this time. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80257640 IF I WERE YOU I WOULD STAND OUTSIDE AND GIVE AWAY ALL MY BELONGINGS BECAUSE YOU WON'T BE THERE ANYWAY IF YOU DON'T LEAVE SOON!!! GET OUT!!! Leave not worth your life |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 11:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | WTNT34 KNHC 270257 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022 ...IAN EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVERNIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY... ...SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS WILL BEGIN IN WESTERN CUBA VERY SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 83.4W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. . . . [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)] |
Jagsbch
User ID: 79051161 United States 09/26/2022 11:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79245788 09/26/2022 11:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
leelee
User ID: 84175893 United States 09/26/2022 11:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81031794 [link to www.tiktok.com (secure)] That is probably Tampa General Hospital which is on David Island. I just moved my daughter into an apartment not far from there three days ago. Still in the middle of unpacking and now we are repacking and getting out of here. I’m going to take a walk down to bayshore blvd and see how much is boarded up. Stay safe everyone. |
FireFleye
(OP) User ID: 83151537 United States 09/26/2022 11:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |