Godlike Productions - Discussion Forum
Users Online Now: 2,092 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 537,409
Pageviews Today: 926,283Threads Today: 398Posts Today: 6,420
11:39 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

Hurricane Ian Info

 
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 10:02 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
TeknaBuzz

User ID: 80744333
United States
09/26/2022 10:02 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info



Something is wrong here.. been tracking hurricanes for over 40yrs. Never seen a model like this. AI?

Edit..it's too concentrated.
 Quoting: Room222


It's technically one model. The ensembles of 1 model. The black line represents the mean average of all the ensembles.

Have you been tracking from under a rock?
TeknaBuzz
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 10:03 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
The Empress

User ID: 82628509
United States
09/26/2022 10:05 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
I'm staying and will be live streaming let's gooooooooo hf
 Quoting: Craft


I got brothers in Englewood and Valrico, plus nieces, nephews and cousins in the general area.
Stay safe !!!
 Quoting: tiger1


Spoke to my cousin in Engelwood earlier and they are about finished boarding up.

Hope your loved ones stay safe.

Prayers for all.
Room222

User ID: 83087726
United States
09/26/2022 10:08 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info



Something is wrong here.. been tracking hurricanes for over 40yrs. Never seen a model like this. AI?

Edit..it's too concentrated.
 Quoting: Room222


It's technically one model. The ensembles of 1 model. The black line represents the mean average of all the ensembles.

Have you been tracking from under a rock?
 Quoting: TeknaBuzz



No, just old skool. Compass, chart , sextant stuff..ya know.tomato
"People are stupid;they will believe a lie because they want to believe it's true, or because they are afraid it might be true"
The Empress

User ID: 82628509
United States
09/26/2022 10:10 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info


This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78952434



Like Charley?

Look familiar? Ian path similar to 2004's Hurricane Charley

[link to www-wesh-com.cdn.ampproject.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Room222


I think it's Charley 2.0 too, but NO ONE seems to want to say it.
 Quoting: DNoMo Michele B


My daughter that lives in Charleston SC was talking about going back to Charlotte because she is afraid of tornadoes the storm could spawn down there. I told her to stay in Charleston.

I also agree with Charley 2.0
Jumping Jack Flash

User ID: 84211235
United States
09/26/2022 10:15 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info


This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78952434


The TVA and Smoky Mtn dam system was designed for a 100 year flood, thought to be 20" of rain. A fast moving storm wouldn't be an issue with say 10", but a slow moving or stalled storm, held in place by high pressure systems, could easily dump more than the 20" design basis. That's just what happened in 1969 when Camille stalled over Nelson County, VA. Put is this way: birds were found drowned in trees. Total rainfall for the event is not known, but they know it was at least 38 inches, only because a farmer had set out empty barrels that he was going to fill the next day for watering his animals. The barrels were full and 38" tall.

When, not if, the 100 year 20" flood occurs, and any one of the high head mountain dams do fail, any other dams down stream would also be breached and fail. The problem with that is there are 7 TVA nuclear plants sited along the Tennessee River. Just remember that in the 1930's when the TVA system of dams was built, designed for a 100 year flood, they never even heard of nuclear power, much less envisioned 7 nukes sitting in the banks of the Tennessee.

Some may argue that the 20" hypothetical flood thought to be a 100 year event in the 1930's when designed, is now more like a 50 year flood due to climate change. Whether you believe in climate change or not, 20" is 20" regardless of how often it happens, and it would spell nuclear disaster for the southeastern US.

Can't happen? The Sequoyah Nuclear plant was built with an underwater dike to retain a limited cooling pool in the event the Chickamauga dam were ever to fail. So those designers deemed it probable enough to go to the trouble of constructing the dike.

Can't happen? really? talk to Fukushima operators and get their take on it. I don't know how high water would get if one or more upstream dams failed. But I wouldn't want to test it to find out.

There is a similar precarious situation in south Carolina at the Oconee nuclear plant, which is also potentially in Ian's path.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78512931
United States
09/26/2022 10:16 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 83151537


Palm harbor here. Fuck the BS. Not moving

Spaghetti models shows it all

[link to spaghettimodels.com (secure)]
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 10:18 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
The Empress

User ID: 82628509
United States
09/26/2022 10:20 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info


This would be really bad for folks in the Smokies and the whole Blue Ridge area. Rain has nowhere to go but downhill into rivers and streams..Damn....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78952434


WNC here. People don't get how we get such bad flooding in the mountains. Years ago we had Francis (I believe) and Ivan right after. Last year it was Fred as a tropical storm. They are downgraded to tropical storms by the time they get to us, but the rain and wind is insane coming out if the gulf.
Jagsbch

User ID: 79051161
United States
09/26/2022 10:21 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
It's trending eastward; folks in Cocoa Beach and Daytona will get the brunt on the east coast it seems. Naples could get slaughtered

Last Edited by Jagsbch on 09/26/2022 11:05 PM
"Feed my sheep"
TeknaBuzz

User ID: 80744333
United States
09/26/2022 10:24 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
Eye clearly visible on IR now
TeknaBuzz
Alsabiades

User ID: 79121425
United States
09/26/2022 10:24 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
I'm staying and will be live streaming let's gooooooooo hf
 Quoting: Craft


Behold! One intelligent human!
Alsabiades
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 83846896
United States
09/26/2022 10:29 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
It's going to be Worst that what you think!

Craft bro, I'm from La Palma volcano Thread from Puerto Rico, Brooo don't do it!

hiding
Alsabiades

User ID: 79121425
United States
09/26/2022 10:29 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
My take ? Overblown. As usual....(last twenty years of reporting).
Alsabiades
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 81031794
09/26/2022 10:31 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video
[link to www.tiktok.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79373377
United States
09/26/2022 10:32 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
THIS IS ALL FAKE GUYS!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 82310284
United States
09/26/2022 10:37 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info


Ugh fuck him. 😫 I'm on Charlotte harbor. As in Charley 2.0.
Jagsbch

User ID: 79051161
United States
09/26/2022 10:44 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info


Last Edited by Jagsbch on 09/26/2022 10:45 PM
"Feed my sheep"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 80257640
United States
09/26/2022 10:47 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
In Central FL. I don't see much movement in the cone. It should narrow, but I think they dont know what it will do. I'm staying in and bugging in. Gotta protect my stuff, family and preps. Last time we had so many looters. Not going to happen this time.
Jagsbch

User ID: 79051161
United States
09/26/2022 10:48 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info



"Feed my sheep"
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 10:52 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79373377
United States
09/26/2022 10:54 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
In Central FL. I don't see much movement in the cone. It should narrow, but I think they dont know what it will do. I'm staying in and bugging in. Gotta protect my stuff, family and preps. Last time we had so many looters. Not going to happen this time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80257640


IF I WERE YOU I WOULD STAND OUTSIDE AND GIVE AWAY ALL MY BELONGINGS BECAUSE YOU WON'T BE THERE ANYWAY IF YOU DON'T LEAVE SOON!!! GET OUT!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78714632
United States
09/26/2022 10:56 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video
[link to www.tiktok.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81031794


burnithidingbump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78714632
United States
09/26/2022 10:57 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
In Central FL. I don't see much movement in the cone. It should narrow, but I think they dont know what it will do. I'm staying in and bugging in. Gotta protect my stuff, family and preps. Last time we had so many looters. Not going to happen this time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80257640


IF I WERE YOU I WOULD STAND OUTSIDE AND GIVE AWAY ALL MY BELONGINGS BECAUSE YOU WON'T BE THERE ANYWAY IF YOU DON'T LEAVE SOON!!! GET OUT!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79373377


Leave not worth your life
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 11:00 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270257
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

...IAN EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVERNIGHT OR EARLY
TUESDAY...
...SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS WILL BEGIN
IN WESTERN CUBA VERY SOON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 83.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

. . .

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Jagsbch

User ID: 79051161
United States
09/26/2022 11:01 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info

"Feed my sheep"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79245788
09/26/2022 11:03 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
I think this one will be very very bad....

but I think it will hit north and west of Tampa towards Tallahassee or Pensacola
leelee

User ID: 84175893
United States
09/26/2022 11:08 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info
this guy is posting from TickTock in Tampa saying that they are putting up water walls see video
[link to www.tiktok.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81031794


That is probably Tampa General Hospital which is on David Island. I just moved my daughter into an apartment not far from there three days ago. Still in the middle of unpacking and now we are repacking and getting out of here.

I’m going to take a walk down to bayshore blvd and see how much is boarded up.

Stay safe everyone.
FireFleye  (OP)

User ID: 83151537
United States
09/26/2022 11:09 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Hurricane Ian Info





GLP