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The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake

 
Humanitarianlike

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08/16/2022 10:48 PM
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The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Not a mega-drought either.

Many Californians fear the "Big One," but it might not be what you think.

It's not an earthquake. And it isn't the mega drought. It's actually the exact opposite.

A megaflood.

Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UCLA and a researcher involved in the study, describes a megaflood as, "a very severe flood event across a broad region that has the potential to bring catastrophic impacts to society in the areas affected." He said a megaflood is similar to the 1,000-year flash flood events seen this summer in the St. Louis area and Kentucky, but across a much wider area, such as the entire state of California.
[link to abc30.com (secure)]

The Great Flood of 1862 ~ 40 days and 40 nights

Impact by region - Oregon (Idaho, California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona and New Mexico in link below)

The weather pattern that caused this flood was not from an El Niño-type event, and from the existing Army and private weather records, it has been determined that the polar jet stream was to the north, as the Pacific Northwest experienced a mild rainy pattern for the first half of December 1861. In 2012, hydrologists and meteorologists concluded that the precipitation was likely caused by a series of atmospheric rivers that hit the Western United States along the entire West Coast, from Oregon to Southern California.[6]

An atmospheric river is a wind-borne, deep layer of water vapor with origins in the tropics, extending from the surface to high altitudes, often above 10,000 feet, and concentrated into a relatively narrow band, typically about 400 to 600 kilometres (250 to 370 mi) wide, usually running ahead of a frontal boundary, or merging into it.[7][8] With the right dynamics in place to provide lift, an atmospheric river can produce astonishing amounts of precipitation, especially if it stalls over an area for any length of time.

The floods followed a 20-year-long drought.[9] During November, prior to the flooding, Oregon had steady but heavier-than-normal rainfall, with heavier snow in the mountains.[10]: 76–83  Researchers believe the jet stream had slipped south, accompanied by freezing conditions reported at Oregon stations by December 25. Heavy rainfall began falling in California as the longwave trough moved south over the state, remaining there until the end of January 1862, causing precipitation to fall everywhere in the state for nearly 40 days. Eventually, the trough moved even further south, causing snow to fall in the Central Valley and surrounding mountain ranges.[11]

Current interest

The storm was not an unprecedented occurrence. Geologic evidence has been found that massive floods, of equal or greater magnitude to the 1861–1862 event, have occurred in California roughly every 100 to 200 years.[22] The United States Geological Survey has developed a hypothetical scenario, known as the "ARkStorm", that would occur should a similar event occur in modern-day California.[53][54][55] If such a storm were to occur today, it would probably cause over $725 billion to $1 trillion in damage, and kill around 395,000 people (if it kills 1% of the state's population, similar to the last storm).[1][56]
[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]

California flood of 1605
Significantly larger than the 1861-2 megaflood.
[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]

Last Edited by Humanitarianlike on 08/16/2022 10:55 PM
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2022 11:01 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Bumpledorf has spotted your thread.
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/16/2022 11:35 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
ARkStorm

The scenario describes an extreme storm that devastates much of California, causing up to $725 billion in losses (mostly due to flooding), and affects a quarter of California's homes. The event would be similar to exceptionally intense California storms that occurred between December 1861 and January 1862, which dumped nearly 10 feet (3,000 mm) of rain in parts of California over a period of 43 days.[2][3]

USGS sediment research in the San Francisco Bay Area, Santa Barbara Basin, Sacramento Valley, and Klamath Mountain region found that "megastorms" similar to the ARkStorm scenario have occurred in the following years (C.E.): 212, 440, 603, 1029, circa 1300, 1418, 1605, 1750, 1810, and, most recently, 1861-1862. Based on the intervals of known occurrences, ranging from 51 to 426 years, scientists have concluded that these events have a mean return period of about 150–200 years.[2]
[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]

https://imgur.com/2VUzO0f
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
ARkStorm Overview

This document summarizes the next major public project for MHDP, a winter storm scenario called ARkStorm (for Atmospheric River 1,000). Experts have designed a large, scientifically realistic meteorological event followed by an examination of the secondary hazards (for example, landslides and flooding), physical damages to the built environment, and social and economic consequences. The hypothetical storm depicted here would strike the U.S. West Coast and be similar to the intense California winter storms of 1861 and 1862 that left the central valley of California impassible. The storm is estimated to produce precipitation that in many places exceeds levels only experienced on average once every 500 to 1,000 years.
[link to pubs.usgs.gov (secure)]

https://imgur.com/KoaTyaM
Mikey Likes it

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08/16/2022 11:49 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
California needs the rain
Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance!

Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes."
Tangy

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08/16/2022 11:58 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/17/2022 12:31 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
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08/17/2022 12:35 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Lake Oroville
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08/17/2022 12:44 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Bull*shit
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/17/2022 12:47 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Personally, I think something besides a comet impact in Greenland ended the Younger-Dryas.
Not time for that explanation yet though.

How about them megafauna? Car-sized armadillos and huge beaver. Like being on another planet. What kind of event would cause that to happen - the creation of megafauna?

IMO there's only one type of event. Not a Volcano, comet or meteor airburst. Yeah, those are all bad events, but it had to affect the atmosphere for a long time and alter its chemical make-up considerably - like being on another planet.

Anyhoo enjoy this video. We'll chat on the other side.


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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08/17/2022 01:08 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
California needs the rain
 Quoting: Mikey Likes it




Start where it is at.
*St@rGuy*

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08/17/2022 01:12 AM

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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Lake Oroville
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71194676


They have been very tight-lipped about that situation as of late.
But he that shall endure unto the end, the same shall be saved.
Matt. 24: 13
*St@rGuy*

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08/17/2022 01:13 AM

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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Same with China and the 3-Gorges Dam.
But he that shall endure unto the end, the same shall be saved.
Matt. 24: 13
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/17/2022 10:05 AM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
There's the potential in Arizona over the next two days for a little big one.

Circumstances are this:

Gulf of Mexico tropical disturbance has moved this morning to the very western part of Texas and will cross into New Mexico and Arizona. Currently centered over Ciudad Juarez.

At the same times, a set of Cannibal CME's are due to arrive with upwards of G3 storm class. Plus, the eastern Pacific is still churning out plenty of moisture northward into the 4 corner states.

It could be a perfectly drenching tropical-solar storm in the making!

CME
[link to www.msn.com (secure)]

Current radar
https://imgur.com/gncHJWw
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/17/2022 03:12 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Amazing the difference, a couple hours can make. Going to be some serious flash-flooding today in the southwest.

https://imgur.com/0QThti6
Humanitarianlike  (OP)

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08/17/2022 03:18 PM
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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
Monterrey Bay was reporting lightning strikes today. Unusual phenomenon for August.

Pacific North American monsoon is wide and highly active again today folks.

Kp index current at 4 - headed to 6, maybe 7 tomorrow.

[link to tesis.xras.ru (secure)]

Last Edited by Humanitarianlike on 08/17/2022 03:27 PM
beeches

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08/17/2022 03:19 PM

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Re: The Big ONE is coming to California and it's not an Earthquake
to follow bump
Liberalism is totalitarianism with a human face – Thomas Sowell





GLP