MARKET COLLAPSE NEXT WEEK -Tomatoes Under Growlights-

Hi OP, where is the original?
It's still super blurry at imgur.

[imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)]

The blue line (upper chart) is the federal debt multiplied by the average of the fed funds rate and the 5-year yield

The teal colored line (lower chart) is the fed funds rate. Be sure to click on the chart so you can read it closely.

But basically any time the blue line hits that rising resistance level, the hiking cycle stops, without fail.

This is very inconvenient this time around for the fed, as they are getting screamed at by everyone about inflation, so they are going to have to quit the hiking cycle after just four more 25bp hikes (that could be just two 50bp hikes) while inflation is still raging.

They have to choose, inflation, or destroy the US economy. People being able to afford less is the route politicians choose over people becoming unemployed and not being able to afford anything. They will always choose mass discomfort over devastation for a sizable portion of the populace. People who have their lives destroyed are much louder than those who are a bit less comfortable month after month.

And remember 2008? The housing bubble? Well we are currently at risk of repeating that meltdown, and the fed is hell bent on never allowing another 2008 to occur.

[imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)]

The blue line (upper chart) is the federal debt multiplied by the average of the fed funds rate and the 5-year yield

The teal colored line (lower chart) is the fed funds rate. Be sure to click on the chart so you can read it closely.

But basically any time the blue line hits that rising resistance level, the hiking cycle stops, without fail.

This is very inconvenient this time around for the fed, as they are getting screamed at by everyone about inflation, so they are going to have to quit the hiking cycle after just four more 25bp hikes (that could be just two 50bp hikes) while inflation is still raging.

They have to choose, inflation, or destroy the US economy. People being able to afford less is the route politicians choose over people becoming unemployed and not being able to afford anything. They will always choose mass discomfort over devastation for a sizable portion of the populace. People who have their lives destroyed are much louder than those who are a bit less comfortable month after month.

And remember 2008? The housing bubble? Well we are currently at risk of repeating that meltdown, and the fed is hell bent on never allowing another 2008 to occur.