M1.6 Solar Flare. CME Heading to Earth. High Magnitude Earthquake Warning for La Palma, Spain 10.11.2021-10.17.2021

October 9, 2021 @ 11:05 UTC

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Solar activity reached moderate levels today with an M1.6 solar flare observed around AR 2882 at 06:38 UTC (Oct 9). The flare was associated with a Type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 608 km/s, along with a 10cm radio burst (TenFlare) lasting 27 minutes and measuring 430 solar flux units (SFU). Based on this data and imagery courtesy of SDO/AIA 093, a coronal mass ejection (CME) is likely and may be Earth directed. This will only be confirmed once Earth facing coronagraph imagery is up to date. More details to follow later today.

UPDATE: An updated image courtesy of LASCO C2 shows what appears to be an Earth directed, full halo coronal mass ejection (CME) leaving the Sun following the M1.6 solar flare earlier this morning. More to follow.

UPDATE #2: Another look at the CME is below, this time courtesy of STEREO Ahead. An impact past our planet will be likely within the next 72 hours and could lead to at least minor (G1) to moderate (G2) geomagnetic storming once it arrives. Perhaps some good news for aurora sky watchers towards the beginning of the upcoming week. A final update