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Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)

 
DelusionsOfGranduer

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11/29/2021 05:25 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
New Moon begins Saturday Dec. 4th. I’d be watching the days leading up to it and the days following it. Dec 2-7. For those that believe celestial bodies and space weather impact the Earth.
DellJustDell

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11/29/2021 05:48 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
New Moon begins Saturday Dec. 4th. I’d be watching the days leading up to it and the days following it. Dec 2-7. For those that believe celestial bodies and space weather impact the Earth.
 Quoting: DelusionsOfGranduer


I appreciate how you worded that! I had a dream that something happened and the world felt it. It really knocked us on our ass. When I asked what happened, a stranger said, we're being told we were blasted by the sun. (which is a lie) I had this dream about 14 years ago, and believe it was from God to give me permission not to believe the narrative.
Every generation believed they were the last, but we have the one thing they didn't; the timepiece, Israel! It says there are seven Kings, means they are alive! Carter, Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden...
Mister Pillarr  (OP)

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11/29/2021 06:00 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Volcano researcher with heart :)
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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11/29/2021 06:26 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Magnitude ML 3.2
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:23:05.4 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.84 W
Depth 35 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]

Last Edited by Paranoiaaaaa on 11/29/2021 06:27 AM
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
DNoMo Michele B

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11/29/2021 06:28 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
...


I am excited for ya! Cheers to enjoying comfort in good ways.
 Quoting: CleverCreator


For as sore as I've been the last few days, Tuesday isn't going to come soon enough! I feel a nap coming on about a half hour after the delivery guys leave!
 Quoting: Texan Buckeye


My daughter got one that's split in the middle so they can each move it how they want it. Plus the bottom moves up a little, too. You can make it harder or softer. They love it!
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


I can't make this one harder or softer like the Sleep Number. Mine just has an adjustable base that I can raise the feet and head. It's a memory foam hybrid mattress and OMG!! I really hope I like it long term as much as I did trying it in the store! I don't think I'll admit to it if I don't!
 Quoting: Texan Buckeye


IMHO, the Sleep Number beds are more hype than reality. We bought one, cause I wanted to be able to adjust the firmness, and hubs wanted to be able to adjust the head/feet, etc.

So now, 3 years later I kind of hate it! I mean, the “head & feet” adjustments are fine, but I was sorely disappointed to find that the “firmness and softness” is achieved on an AIR MATTRESS! That’s all the stupid is - an air mattress wrapped in - essentially - FOAM!!!

$4,000 for a AIR AND FOAM BED. I wish I’d researched a bit more. I’d probably have bought just the adjustable bed (different company). Then I wouldn’t feel bad about now contemplating buying a supplemental mattress to put on top.

I think it was too much money for what you get.
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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11/29/2021 06:33 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Magnitude ML 3.0
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:28:40.6 UTC
Location 28.55 N ; 17.86 W
Depth 9 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]

Magnitude ML 3.0
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:34:24.8 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.85 W
Depth 10 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]


Magnitude ML 3.0
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:38:51.8 UTC
Location 28.57 N ; 17.
[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]

Last Edited by Paranoiaaaaa on 11/29/2021 06:44 AM
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 81270771
Spain
11/29/2021 06:54 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Hello former friends :)

Windy as balls here in Tenerife. Hope youre all well. The turbo charged aggression of those amphetamine fueled days is over.

Making fifteen hundred bucks a day contracting while we get ready to sell our first hundred licences, which will generate 40 to 50 million GBP in profit. One million of that will be donated to programs for the people of La Palma.

You'll see the CEO I hired in the news in the not-too-distant future. That will be G.

V to the Q to the C out for now.

Dont go changing ;)
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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11/29/2021 07:03 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Magnitude ML 3.4
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:58:05.4 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.85 W
Depth 10 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]

Last Edited by Paranoiaaaaa on 11/29/2021 07:04 AM
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
DellJustDell

User ID: 80667743
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11/29/2021 07:06 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Hello former friends :)

Windy as balls here in Tenerife. Hope youre all well. The turbo charged aggression of those amphetamine fueled days is over.

Making fifteen hundred bucks a day contracting while we get ready to sell our first hundred licences, which will generate 40 to 50 million GBP in profit. One million of that will be donated to programs for the people of La Palma.

You'll see the CEO I hired in the news in the not-too-distant future. That will be G.

V to the Q to the C out for now.

Dont go changing ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81270771


GLad you checked in and are doing better VQC, congrats on your successes! Stay safe!
Every generation believed they were the last, but we have the one thing they didn't; the timepiece, Israel! It says there are seven Kings, means they are alive! Carter, Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden...
I_Object!

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11/29/2021 07:07 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Magnitude ML 3.4
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:58:05.4 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.85 W
Depth 10 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


Becoming more shallow once again.
.........................................
Constitutional Conservative
.........................................
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

User ID: 80982588
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11/29/2021 07:16 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Magnitude ML 3.4
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 11:58:05.4 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.85 W
Depth 10 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


Becoming more shallow once again.
 Quoting: I_Object!


Yep, is guys back and forth between from deep and medium.

Magnitude ML 3.0
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2021-11-29 12:11:57.5 UTC
Location 28.56 N ; 17.83 W
Depth 12 km

[link to www.emsc-csem.org (secure)]
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
Hollow

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11/29/2021 07:30 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Activity is picking up
stay long enough to repay all who caused strife
Crusade Inc

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11/29/2021 08:12 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
2008 pages?
Crusade Inc
I_Object!

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11/29/2021 08:21 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Japan, who just locked down their borders due to covid, just hit with a 6.3 mag
.........................................
Constitutional Conservative
.........................................
Mister Pillarr  (OP)

User ID: 81344974
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11/29/2021 08:22 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Seismo is going nuts .I will update the title
Volcano researcher with heart :)
I_Object!

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11/29/2021 08:27 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Seismo is going nuts .I will update the title
 Quoting: Mister Pillarr


I've been watching this feed that you posted last night.
It's got the spectro running. I keep trying to correlate between hearing a deep rumble sound which seems to bump seconds after hearing it on the spectro graph.


.........................................
Constitutional Conservative
.........................................
Anonymous Coward
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11/29/2021 08:50 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
New Moon begins Saturday Dec. 4th. I’d be watching the days leading up to it and the days following it. Dec 2-7. For those that believe celestial bodies and space weather impact the Earth.
 Quoting: DelusionsOfGranduer


it's a solar eclipse as well
Anonymous Coward
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11/29/2021 08:50 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Seems like there is a higher percentage of shallow quakes occurring as of recent.
Anonymous Coward
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11/29/2021 09:02 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
I'm going to try to log off for the night. I will post though if I hear my quake app ring.
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


hugs
Eilonwy

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11/29/2021 09:06 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
I got a little tickle down the back of my neck when I came over to this thread today. Weird for me, don't usually have any sort of thing like that. Hopefully it's nothing. I hope all are safe.
“A grower of turnips or shaper of clay, a commot Farmer or a king--every man is a hero if he strives more for others than for himself alone.”
Lloyd Alexander, The Castle of Llyr
Humanitarianlike

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11/29/2021 10:17 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Day 72 - SO2 40,000t/d
The Oracle's Cookie

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11/29/2021 10:17 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
mag 4.8

Magnitude ML 4.8


Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION


Date time 2021-11-29 08:35:27.1 UTC


Location 28.39 N ; 17.83 W


Depth 24 km


Distances 148 km WSW of La Laguna, Spain / pop: 150,000 / local time: 08:35:27.1 2021-11-29


11 km SSE of Fuencaliente de la Palma, Spain / pop: 1,800 / local time: 08:35:27.1 2021-11-29


[link to www.emsc.eu (secure)]
 Quoting: Hollow


Upgraded to mag 5.7 wtf

[link to www.emsc.eu (secure)]
 Quoting: Hollow


One (or more) larger quakes should NOT be a surprise
for the next 24 to 48 hours around La Palma.

The Earth took a BIG "multiple hit" overnight with one
of the largest GRB's (and long-duration twin-pulse) reported
in years--PLUS--a filament release and small CME from
our star. Very busy night in the HEAVENS.
[link to earthboppin.net]

This time of year--and going into the weeks of December--
seem to be prime-time for large gamma ray bursts for some
reason. One of the largest ever recorded gamma ray bursts
hit us December 24, 2004 and caused a huge quake and
tsunami (WITHOUT A LANDSLIDE--just the quake) with epicenter
in Banda Atche Sumatra. The event caused over 1/4 million
deaths and affected dozens of coastal countries in that
area of Asia. Dr. Paul Laviolette believed it was definitely
the result of "spaceweather" and has an article you can
still find on his "Etheric dot com" website.

Here are some before and after pictures I saved from an
earlier thread (I proposed that this event was the fulfillment
of the 3rd Secret of Fatima as Sister Lucia died 2 weeks
later and was told she would see "the fulfillment of the
Chastisement" if humanity did not repent.)

SumatraBEFORESumatraAFTER
Banda Ache Sumatra (before left and after right)
Sobering visuals of the "power of WATER."

cheers
The Oracle's Cookie
BOOMsizes80820

Last Edited by The Oracle's Cookie on 11/29/2021 10:18 AM
The Youth

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11/29/2021 10:20 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
This is a post I found on FB, most of
the users here don't like that platform so I translate it and post it here so you don't have to access the original post or the social network.


Anyway I will post the link of the original post even though it's written in Spanish.



580- 11/28/2021 20: 30h Canary Islands.- LA PALMA ISLAND ERUPTION.- DAY 71.- THIS SEEMS A NEW ERUPTION. ALL THE PARAMETERS INDICATE THE SAME, A GREAT MAGMA MOVEMENT AND A CHANGE IN ERUPTIVE DYNAMIC.- NEW WASHES IN THE NORTH AND NEXT TO THE NORTH OF THE TODOQUE MOUNTAIN.- "We were few and the grandmother gave birth" - The truth is that this post is difficult to write, what I am seeing in the data and in the volcano is not very hopeful, on the contrary, it is showing me a change in its eruptive dynamics. What does this mean? I am going to try to explain it with all the data and what is there so that it is clearly understood, but basically that we have a volcano for a while, for a long time, more than a month, months or even years. It will be the longest and most historic on La Palma. The longest of the archipelago is Lanzarote with 6 years between 1730-1736, so I have to contemplate this possibility, it is the worst of the expected scenarios. Sorry, I can't say it any other way, I go by parts:

THE DEFORMATION: If I had a gravimetry of the area, this could be better confirmed, but the data from LP06 and especially LP05 indicate a subsidence, which clearly has a very clear reading, the depressurization wave of the magma due to the opening of the eruptive point it has reached those points in depth, or to put it another way, the roots that feed the eruptive cone have reached there. When you pump water, the influence of the pump goes a long way, because it is the same thing.

What happens is the same as what I learned in oil fields that are pressurized by oil and gases, such as Burgan in Kuwait with 11kg / cm2 at the wellhead, is that when they explode (the oil came out without bomb) lower their pressure (in 2015 it was between 3 and 4kg / cm2 and they had to put bombs) and this caused subsidence in the desert of several meters. Now I see the same thing, and it is gravity that drives it, or what is the same, the weight of the island presses that magma so that it comes out like a grain of pus that you squeeze, gravity is what squeezes what it implies that the magma will keep coming out for a long time until the outlet conduit and the underground drainage network that feeds it is closed or blocked.

At the beginning the magma rose by a lower density and an overpressure when depressurizing in depth, generating a pressure on the surface, now the change in dynamics indicates another behavior, drainage, now it is draining magma and that can be a long time and a lot of quantity through from an impressive system of conduits of several tens of kilometers around the eruptive point., 3 days ago I arrived at LP05. If I had a detailed gravimetry I could even calculate the volume of magma that moves, which must be a lot ... to generate a 5 cm sink when draining material more than 30 km deep.

In the LP03 station we have had an overpressure during the last days that indicates that the system is more pressurized in the outlet duct, although it seems that it drops a little, it does not drop to the previous point, indicating otherwise, the flow is still very big and tall and with a tendency to increase for almost two weeks, explaining a little what happened today.

TREMOR AND GASES:
The high gas reading, about 40,000 tons of SO2 per day (between 30,000 and 50,000), a stupid thing, indicates the arrival of new fresh magma, which corresponds to the deformation and tremor of which it tells us some more things. It was going down and the wave of new material has arrived causing the eruption of wash 18 that devastated the cemetery due to excess pressure. After this, the tremor was slowly rising, when it suddenly fell, indicating a plugging in the main conduit at the base of the cone or somewhat lower, and the magma has sought the easiest area to exit, right at the base of the cone. , with what it has pressurized, it has opened the dike more and finally it has made its way to the outside causing what we have seen this morning. And the gases will be responsible for provoking new columns of ash and pyroclasts through the gas chimneys, which appear to be the same.

EARTHQUAKES AND SEISMIC ENERGY.
The rebound in seismic energy in recent hours only confirms this, I do not have detailed seismic maps, but if you look a little, the deep seismicity occurs northeast of Cumbre Vieja between the Town and in the direction of Mazo, while that the superficial one occurs under the Old Summit. Also today as a novelty there are earthquakes between both chambers, between 20 and 30 km, indicating a change in pressure on the way or more magma on the way.

As if that were not enough, the system is becoming predictable, with a new pattern of deep earthquakes every 3 days, about 70-72h that has already been repeated 3 times and although it seems that at the moment it is decreasing in magnitude, I do not trust. We will see if there is no other important one in the next few hours, it lacks energy to release.

LAVA WASHES:
The 6 mouths that vomited lava since this morning have formed a small cone and that join to go down the slope (I have called it as wash 19) and reaches the north edge of the field of old casts, following that north edge, having already passed The road from Tacande towards La Laguna, which you will reach in 24-48-72h depending on the supply of material and hoping that it will stop sooner. If it does not stop, it will continue leaving through the school area in the Laguna towards Tazacorte and from there towards the ocean bordering the Laguna Mountain to the north, towards the other cemetery and soccer field, my mother, where it will arrive in about 4-7 days.

On the other hand, there is another stream, an arm of stream 16 that has gone north of the Laguna mountain and is on its way to the Atlantic Ocean. Do not miss the video

THE LAVA RIVER NORTH OF THE TODOQUE MOUNTAIN.
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

CONCLUSION:
This volcano is surprising me, especially because I know its geology everywhere, from the galleries to its history and its formation, but what I am experiencing I did not expect even in dreams, it is a bastard that when it has gone to stop, it has changed not to die and the play has gone well.

What still worries me now is that it will do as it did in 1949, that it suddenly stops due to a plugging in the conduit and that the pressure shock of all that moving magma causes the conduit to rupture and the material to escape from another site , with three possibilities:
1.- a shallow plugging in the upstream duct in the El Paso area in hours (12- 72h)
2.- a deeper plugging that directly causes the opening of the Cumbre Vieja Ridge with material coming out of the upper part in the Nambroque area in Cumbre Vieja where it should take longer, between 48 and 144 hours (2-6 days)
3.- other options with opening on the other hand in the areas where magma migrates, which I have not raised.

I realized what could be happening this morning when I saw the data, it is not something that is sudden, it comes out, I did not know how to say it ... it could last for years ... it is terrible ... it is the pessimistic scenario, but I hope a more realistic one that stops in 1-3 months, yes before 3 weeks not for sure, that would be the most optimistic. The truth is that it is very difficult to know what it will do and I can only give indications of what it can do by seeing what we have had before in the archipelago.

I very much encourage the clappers, I am going to see if I make some maps of the lava flows and put them in the answers in a while.

(Enrique)
PS: I hope I'm wrong and it closes in 3 weeks, but I'm very afraid that this breva will not fall ...

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
Be your own Messiah
Humanitarianlike

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11/29/2021 10:20 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Wouldn't it be great if Earth was called Eden and there were no borders.
Imagine that, it's easy if you try!

Edenquakes.
joinca

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11/29/2021 10:26 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
Video 1 of the secondary cone of #ErupcionLaPalma where the emission of #piroclastos is seen that makes the cone and lava flows to the northwest.



"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Humanitarianlike

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11/29/2021 10:26 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)

cheers
The Oracle's Cookie
BOOMsizes80820
 Quoting: Hollow


Nice

The Lord Sun is King.. always has been!

cheers
TOC
joinca

User ID: 79996250
United States
11/29/2021 10:27 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
video 2 of the secondary cone of the #ErupcionLaPalma where the emission of #piroclastos is seen that makes the cone and the lava flows grow towards the northwest.


"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
joinca

User ID: 79996250
United States
11/29/2021 10:31 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
[11/28/2021 07:02] Flight #3D over the evolution of the lava flow during the last 15 days (13 to 28).

With data from @CopernicusEMS
#EMSR546 , from 07:02 yesterday the 28th.


"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/29/2021 11:08 AM
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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
This is a post I found on FB, most of
the users here don't like that platform so I translate it and post it here so you don't have to access the original post or the social network.


Anyway I will post the link of the original post even though it's written in Spanish.



580- 11/28/2021 20: 30h Canary Islands.- LA PALMA ISLAND ERUPTION.- DAY 71.- THIS SEEMS A NEW ERUPTION. ALL THE PARAMETERS INDICATE THE SAME, A GREAT MAGMA MOVEMENT AND A CHANGE IN ERUPTIVE DYNAMIC.- NEW WASHES IN THE NORTH AND NEXT TO THE NORTH OF THE TODOQUE MOUNTAIN.- "We were few and the grandmother gave birth" - The truth is that this post is difficult to write, what I am seeing in the data and in the volcano is not very hopeful, on the contrary, it is showing me a change in its eruptive dynamics. What does this mean? I am going to try to explain it with all the data and what is there so that it is clearly understood, but basically that we have a volcano for a while, for a long time, more than a month, months or even years. It will be the longest and most historic on La Palma. The longest of the archipelago is Lanzarote with 6 years between 1730-1736, so I have to contemplate this possibility, it is the worst of the expected scenarios. Sorry, I can't say it any other way, I go by parts:

THE DEFORMATION: If I had a gravimetry of the area, this could be better confirmed, but the data from LP06 and especially LP05 indicate a subsidence, which clearly has a very clear reading, the depressurization wave of the magma due to the opening of the eruptive point it has reached those points in depth, or to put it another way, the roots that feed the eruptive cone have reached there. When you pump water, the influence of the pump goes a long way, because it is the same thing.

What happens is the same as what I learned in oil fields that are pressurized by oil and gases, such as Burgan in Kuwait with 11kg / cm2 at the wellhead, is that when they explode (the oil came out without bomb) lower their pressure (in 2015 it was between 3 and 4kg / cm2 and they had to put bombs) and this caused subsidence in the desert of several meters. Now I see the same thing, and it is gravity that drives it, or what is the same, the weight of the island presses that magma so that it comes out like a grain of pus that you squeeze, gravity is what squeezes what it implies that the magma will keep coming out for a long time until the outlet conduit and the underground drainage network that feeds it is closed or blocked.

At the beginning the magma rose by a lower density and an overpressure when depressurizing in depth, generating a pressure on the surface, now the change in dynamics indicates another behavior, drainage, now it is draining magma and that can be a long time and a lot of quantity through from an impressive system of conduits of several tens of kilometers around the eruptive point., 3 days ago I arrived at LP05. If I had a detailed gravimetry I could even calculate the volume of magma that moves, which must be a lot ... to generate a 5 cm sink when draining material more than 30 km deep.

In the LP03 station we have had an overpressure during the last days that indicates that the system is more pressurized in the outlet duct, although it seems that it drops a little, it does not drop to the previous point, indicating otherwise, the flow is still very big and tall and with a tendency to increase for almost two weeks, explaining a little what happened today.

TREMOR AND GASES:
The high gas reading, about 40,000 tons of SO2 per day (between 30,000 and 50,000), a stupid thing, indicates the arrival of new fresh magma, which corresponds to the deformation and tremor of which it tells us some more things. It was going down and the wave of new material has arrived causing the eruption of wash 18 that devastated the cemetery due to excess pressure. After this, the tremor was slowly rising, when it suddenly fell, indicating a plugging in the main conduit at the base of the cone or somewhat lower, and the magma has sought the easiest area to exit, right at the base of the cone. , with what it has pressurized, it has opened the dike more and finally it has made its way to the outside causing what we have seen this morning. And the gases will be responsible for provoking new columns of ash and pyroclasts through the gas chimneys, which appear to be the same.

EARTHQUAKES AND SEISMIC ENERGY.
The rebound in seismic energy in recent hours only confirms this, I do not have detailed seismic maps, but if you look a little, the deep seismicity occurs northeast of Cumbre Vieja between the Town and in the direction of Mazo, while that the superficial one occurs under the Old Summit. Also today as a novelty there are earthquakes between both chambers, between 20 and 30 km, indicating a change in pressure on the way or more magma on the way.

As if that were not enough, the system is becoming predictable, with a new pattern of deep earthquakes every 3 days, about 70-72h that has already been repeated 3 times and although it seems that at the moment it is decreasing in magnitude, I do not trust. We will see if there is no other important one in the next few hours, it lacks energy to release.

LAVA WASHES:
The 6 mouths that vomited lava since this morning have formed a small cone and that join to go down the slope (I have called it as wash 19) and reaches the north edge of the field of old casts, following that north edge, having already passed The road from Tacande towards La Laguna, which you will reach in 24-48-72h depending on the supply of material and hoping that it will stop sooner. If it does not stop, it will continue leaving through the school area in the Laguna towards Tazacorte and from there towards the ocean bordering the Laguna Mountain to the north, towards the other cemetery and soccer field, my mother, where it will arrive in about 4-7 days.

On the other hand, there is another stream, an arm of stream 16 that has gone north of the Laguna mountain and is on its way to the Atlantic Ocean. Do not miss the video

THE LAVA RIVER NORTH OF THE TODOQUE MOUNTAIN.
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CONCLUSION:
This volcano is surprising me, especially because I know its geology everywhere, from the galleries to its history and its formation, but what I am experiencing I did not expect even in dreams, it is a bastard that when it has gone to stop, it has changed not to die and the play has gone well.

What still worries me now is that it will do as it did in 1949, that it suddenly stops due to a plugging in the conduit and that the pressure shock of all that moving magma causes the conduit to rupture and the material to escape from another site , with three possibilities:
1.- a shallow plugging in the upstream duct in the El Paso area in hours (12- 72h)
2.- a deeper plugging that directly causes the opening of the Cumbre Vieja Ridge with material coming out of the upper part in the Nambroque area in Cumbre Vieja where it should take longer, between 48 and 144 hours (2-6 days)
3.- other options with opening on the other hand in the areas where magma migrates, which I have not raised.

I realized what could be happening this morning when I saw the data, it is not something that is sudden, it comes out, I did not know how to say it ... it could last for years ... it is terrible ... it is the pessimistic scenario, but I hope a more realistic one that stops in 1-3 months, yes before 3 weeks not for sure, that would be the most optimistic. The truth is that it is very difficult to know what it will do and I can only give indications of what it can do by seeing what we have had before in the archipelago.

I very much encourage the clappers, I am going to see if I make some maps of the lava flows and put them in the answers in a while.

(Enrique)
PS: I hope I'm wrong and it closes in 3 weeks, but I'm very afraid that this breva will not fall ...

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 Quoting: The Youth


Gracias. I have several people from La Palma expecting me to update them from outside sources. They are very scared.
Rachael123

User ID: 76881693
United States
11/29/2021 11:21 AM

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Re: Cumbre Vieja volcano post eruption phase! Time to say goodbye for volcano-thank you for all support :)
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