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COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)

 
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 05:32 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
UK: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on excess deaths and morbidity - Published 7 August 2020

The long term impact of the lockdown is on course to cause more excess deaths than Covid (81,400 v 67,000), according to government calculation for SAGE

BUT: without lockdown (and without mitigation) Covid would have killed 1.5m


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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


Lockdown 'killed two people for every three that died of coronavirus': 16,000 people in the UK died in five weeks as hospitals shut down to deal with COVID while 25,000 died from the virus

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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 06:12 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
An example of a country with hot and humid conditions but the virus spreading well.


(@Reuters)

Indonesia reports 2,277 new coronavirus infections


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 06:20 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@business)

Diners are packing U.K. restaurants because the government is paying half the tab, but it may not be enough to save the hospitality industry


[link to twitter.com (secure)]


Not enough to save the businesses and with the added bonus that restaurants are known to be venues with high rates of virus transmission. Hooray. yeahsure
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 06:27 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Big protest due in Lebanon today it seems


(@UpdatesLebanese)

A protest is planned today evening against the government and political elites.

Several political parties will participate, most notably the Kataeb party and the communist party.

Security forces (anti riot) are starting to gather.


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 06:37 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
A growing migrant crisis in the UK? Heard things like this happening in recent weeks in fringe media, and now mainstream media is starting to report on it.


(@SkyNews)

BREAKING: A small boat with suspected migrants on board has reached the shore in Kingsdown in Kent.

A beach goer who saw the arrival tells @SkyEnda she saw 14 people, including two pregnant women and a child in the group.


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 07:23 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
A growing migrant crisis in the UK? Heard things like this happening in recent weeks in fringe media, and now mainstream media is starting to report on it.


(@SkyNews)

BREAKING: A small boat with suspected migrants on board has reached the shore in Kingsdown in Kent.

A beach goer who saw the arrival tells @SkyEnda she saw 14 people, including two pregnant women and a child in the group.


[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


ALWAYS HAPPENS when the weather is fine and hot. Perfect conditions for crossing
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 07:42 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
ALWAYS HAPPENS when the weather is fine and hot. Perfect conditions for crossing
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 68583098


thanks for the info
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 08:11 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@skymarkwhite)

BREAKING - The Home Office has now formally asked the Minstry of Defence for assistance in helping UK Border Force counter small boat crossings in the English Channel


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08/08/2020 08:13 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@ABC)

Doctors and experts are able to draw some conclusions about the coronavirus' impact on kids.

Here's what parents need to know.


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 08:25 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@HarpWizard)

Florida #COVID19 antibody serology

Antibodies indicate prior viral infection; 400K people posted

6.7% had antibodies- may reflect rough prevalence of infection in population

Percent positivity increases in school age kids:
15-24 yrs - 10%
5-14 yrs - 11%
0-4 yrs - 15%


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 08:33 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@CNBC)

Buffett buys back $5.1 billion in Berkshire Hathaway stock as operating earnings take hit from coronavirus


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08/08/2020 10:09 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@Reuters)

UK orders recall of 741,000 coronavirus testing kits over safety concerns


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Test kits that pose a possible danger to people's health. What next.

damned
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 10:10 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@business)

BREAKING: Princeton University reversed its plan to bring some students back to campus next term, saying all undergraduate classes will be held remotely this fall


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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


(@thehowie)

Universities & boarding schools with large endowments are reversing course and going full-remote. This is another way in which the truly "elite" and everyone else are experiencing this in different ways.

We are going to have many natural experiments to learn from. Painfully.
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08/08/2020 10:12 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Some incident in Beirut... dozens of protesters injured

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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 10:14 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Unlike flu, which is egalitarian, #SARSCoV2 "is better at persisting in contagious clouds, which can ferry pathogens over relatively long distances"

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dynamite
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 10:48 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Florida

>8,541 Daily New Cases
>187 New Reported Deaths (182 Resident)


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08/08/2020 11:03 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@Fxhedgers)

TRUMP TO SIGN EXECUTIVE ORDERS ON RELIEF TODAY - FOX NEWS
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 11:08 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
What Fauci is saying is nothing new, really. Existing flu vaccines are only about 50% effective.

One reason why is that influenza viruses continually mutate into new strains that existing vaccines can't address.
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08/08/2020 11:46 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Thread from a Scientist who specializes in virus study


(@trvrb)

At this point, we think that a substantial fraction of the population of Florida has had COVID-19. If we use a 8:1 ratio of confirmed cases to underlying infections, we'd estimate 510k x 8 = ~4M infections in Florida or roughly 20% of the population. 10/16


(@trvrb)

Similarly, covid19-projections currently estimates 21% of Florida has had COVID-19 at this point. 11/16


(@trvrb)

Thus, I believe the substantial epidemics in Arizona, Florida and Texas will leave enough immunity to assist in keeping COVID-19 controlled. However, this level of immunity is not compatible with a full return to societal behavior as existed before the pandemic. 15/16


read more: [link to twitter.com (secure)]




Controlled, but not necessarily improving. And of course, immunity could well be temporary.

Eventually people are going to get fatigued with having to go along with new normal behaviors and mitigation measures for an extended period of time. Add in the uncertainty about how much the transmission rate will be impacted once the schools re-open.

Controlled, for now...
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 11:53 AM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
What Fauci is saying is nothing new, really. Existing flu vaccines are only about 50% effective.

One reason why is that influenza viruses continually mutate into new strains that existing vaccines can't address.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78629642


Yep, but covid is not mutating rapidly like the flu, from what I understand. As such there had been hope among some of the population that the covid vaccine was going to be a magic bullet.
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08/08/2020 12:28 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@Reuters)

Brazil COVID-19 deaths reach 100,000 and barrel onward


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08/08/2020 01:48 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@SkyNews)

Coronavirus: Disposable face masks creating new plastic pollution crisis, experts warn


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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 02:30 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Thread from a Scientist who specializes in virus study


(@trvrb)

At this point, we think that a substantial fraction of the population of Florida has had COVID-19. If we use a 8:1 ratio of confirmed cases to underlying infections, we'd estimate 510k x 8 = ~4M infections in Florida or roughly 20% of the population. 10/16


(@trvrb)

Similarly, covid19-projections currently estimates 21% of Florida has had COVID-19 at this point. 11/16


(@trvrb)

Thus, I believe the substantial epidemics in Arizona, Florida and Texas will leave enough immunity to assist in keeping COVID-19 controlled. However, this level of immunity is not compatible with a full return to societal behavior as existed before the pandemic. 15/16


read more: [link to twitter.com (secure)]




Controlled, but not necessarily improving. And of course, immunity could well be temporary.

Eventually people are going to get fatigued with having to go along with new normal behaviors and mitigation measures for an extended period of time. Add in the uncertainty about how much the transmission rate will be impacted once the schools re-open.

Controlled, for now...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


And if there isn’t a vaccine that works and existing treatments only partially work, then we could be looking at a slow civilizational collapse on a global scale.

It won’t be the deaths that cause the collapse, but all the people who caught the virus, survived, but are left with a disabling post-viral syndrome that leaves them unable to work.

I’ve seen information suggesting that up to 55% of survivors are afflicted with the syndrome, although I don’t know how large the sample size is for the study that identified the problem, or whether it can be generalized to the population of all known COVID-19 survivors.
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 02:59 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Thread from a Scientist who specializes in virus study


(@trvrb)

At this point, we think that a substantial fraction of the population of Florida has had COVID-19. If we use a 8:1 ratio of confirmed cases to underlying infections, we'd estimate 510k x 8 = ~4M infections in Florida or roughly 20% of the population. 10/16


(@trvrb)

Similarly, covid19-projections currently estimates 21% of Florida has had COVID-19 at this point. 11/16


(@trvrb)

Thus, I believe the substantial epidemics in Arizona, Florida and Texas will leave enough immunity to assist in keeping COVID-19 controlled. However, this level of immunity is not compatible with a full return to societal behavior as existed before the pandemic. 15/16


read more: [link to twitter.com (secure)]




Controlled, but not necessarily improving. And of course, immunity could well be temporary.

Eventually people are going to get fatigued with having to go along with new normal behaviors and mitigation measures for an extended period of time. Add in the uncertainty about how much the transmission rate will be impacted once the schools re-open.

Controlled, for now...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


And if there isn’t a vaccine that works and existing treatments only partially work, then we could be looking at a slow civilizational collapse on a global scale.

It won’t be the deaths that cause the collapse, but all the people who caught the virus, survived, but are left with a disabling post-viral syndrome that leaves them unable to work.

I’ve seen information suggesting that up to 55% of survivors are afflicted with the syndrome, although I don’t know how large the sample size is for the study that identified the problem, or whether it can be generalized to the population of all known COVID-19 survivors.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78629642


The hidden damage too, particularly people's hearts that they found in a large number of survivors (even survirors who were considered previously healthy). That's surely gonna cut more than a few lives short before their time.

And Sepsis. 20% of hospitalized patients are expected to get Sepsis sometime within a year of first having the virus. Even people who have had mild symptoms from the virus and thought they recovered are being told to be aware of the signs of sepsis.

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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 03:03 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Iran

(@aliostad)

#Important all provinces severely affected during the 1st wave are in red again during the 2nd wave:

- Qom
- Gilan
- Mazandaran
- Golestan

Considering infection rates of up to 40% had been reported, this does not sound good at all for the "Herd Immunity".
Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 03:03 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Iran

(@aliostad)

#Important all provinces severely affected during the 1st wave are in red again during the 2nd wave:

- Qom
- Gilan
- Mazandaran
- Golestan

Considering infection rates of up to 40% had been reported, this does not sound good at all for the "Herd Immunity".

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


link to thread

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Anonymous Coward
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08/08/2020 03:56 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
(@BNODesk)

NEW: Ohio Governor DeWine tests negative for coronavirus in 2nd PCR test. Thursday's rapid antigen test has been determined to be a false positive


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08/08/2020 04:14 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Watch LIVE: -President Trump Holds a News Conference From Bedminster, NJ - 8/8/20

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08/08/2020 05:12 PM
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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Texas

+6,959 cases
Test positivity rate for all tests reaches all time high (19.41%)

Lowest # of tests reported since early July

[link to txdshs.maps.arcgis.com (secure)]

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hiding
Vegz

User ID: 79147010
United States
08/08/2020 05:34 PM

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Re: COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Texas

+6,959 cases
Test positivity rate for all tests reaches all time high (19.41%)

Lowest # of tests reported since early July

[link to txdshs.maps.arcgis.com (secure)]

[link to txdshs.maps.arcgis.com (secure)]

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78260614


Wow...hiding
The bad news is nothing lasts forever. The good news is nothing lasts forever.





GLP