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Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/30/2020 12:06 AM
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Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Updated 2/2/20 9:00 p.m. EST

Dead vs. Recovered Chart
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Confirmed-Suspected-New-Severe-Dead- Comparison Chart
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Mortality Rate
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Update: I have now started tracking cases inside and outside of China seperately.

These charts outline pertinent data to the current ongoing outbreak.

The one that concerns me most is the Dead vs. Recovered.

The lines are converging, indicating a 50% kill ratio with the numbers we have to work with.

The 2% mortality rate is a THEORY at this point. The actual data suggest it is killing more than are recovering.

I hope things change but the 2% mortality rate is based on a prediction that 98% of those affected will recover.

I'm in the "prepare for the worst" camp, so this is the graph that I will be watching closely.

We all know there are many more dead than they are letting on to warrant such a drastic reaction by the Chinese government.


damned
Anonymous Coward
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01/30/2020 12:11 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
When are we going to start seeing dudes in pickup truck stroll down the road yelling out “bring out your dead”
So they can take the dead away and keep the healthy ones going.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 12:13 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
According to the data, it looks like the "cured" outpaces the "dead" by only a marginal amount.

This thing looks 60/40 to me.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 12:13 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
When are we going to start seeing dudes in pickup truck stroll down the road yelling out “bring out your dead”
So they can take the dead away and keep the healthy ones going.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78311271


You're not kidding...
Anonymous Coward
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01/30/2020 12:21 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
I don't think you can say 'cured'. Probably 'recovered' is a better word. Because once this thing gets into the environment, if animals can host the virus (vectors) then it will be around for a long time with innumerable mutations.
Anonymous Coward
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01/30/2020 12:22 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
I don't think you can say 'cured'. Probably 'recovered' is a better word. Because once this thing gets into the environment, if animals can host the virus (vectors) then it will be around for a long time with innumerable mutations.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


I mean when were you cured of the flu? You're not right? Because you can always catch the flu or a cold.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 12:24 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
I don't think you can say 'cured'. Probably 'recovered' is a better word. Because once this thing gets into the environment, if animals can host the virus (vectors) then it will be around for a long time with innumerable mutations.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


I see both terms being used fairly evenly in the data.

I get what you are saying though.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 12:27 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
I don't think you can say 'cured'. Probably 'recovered' is a better word. Because once this thing gets into the environment, if animals can host the virus (vectors) then it will be around for a long time with innumerable mutations.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


I updated the title and the graph. Recovered is a better word for sure.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 12:42 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

This shows confirmed cases vs. severe cases vs. rip.

The trend to notice is that the amount of confirmed cases today will be the amount of severe cases 5 days from now.

The amount of severe cases today will be the amount of dead in 5 days as well.

Interesting.
Anonymous Coward
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01/30/2020 12:59 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
So you believe every graph and data thrown at you ? I guess you think the economy is doing great too and that unemployment is at an all time low? Wow
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/30/2020 06:45 PM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
So you believe every graph and data thrown at you ? I guess you think the economy is doing great too and that unemployment is at an all time low? Wow
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78117701


I made the graphs MYSELF using updated data from BNO News.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Here's two updated charts I've been maintaining.


Confirmed vs. Severe vs. Dead

[link to ibb.co (secure)]



Dead vs. Recovered (Deadliness)

[link to ibb.co (secure)]



I'll update again when the final numbers for the day come out.
Anonymous Coward
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02/01/2020 05:56 PM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Charts updated, also in my sig if you see my posts anywhere else and want to check them.
Anonymous Coward
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02/01/2020 05:59 PM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Also, feel free to request any other data that you would like to see charted or compared.
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2020 09:05 PM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Charts updated in the OP and in my signature.
Anonymous Coward
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02/11/2020 04:13 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Updated the charts in the op.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:40 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Charts updated in OP and in my signature.

Something noteworthy is the divergence between the cases inside China and the rest of the world.

Right now, the cases in China are slowing, probably due to limited testing. Meanwhile the cases outside of China are picking up pace.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:44 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Unless you post something from Twitter OP, I don’t believe it.

Twitter is last bastion of truth!!
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:48 AM
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Re: Novel Cororavirus 2019-nCov Graph Thread. Cases inside and oustide of China now tracked seperately. (Updated Charts: 2/15/20 9:30 a.m. EST)
Unless you post something from Twitter OP, I don’t believe it.

Twitter is last bastion of truth!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77457769


blahblah5





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