WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

It is actually shocking how clueless, and placated, 85% of my fellow Americans has become. Sadly hypnotized by shallow distractions, and incapable of thinking one step forward, let alone 10 or 20.

This update is going to strictly focus on Ukraine conflict, a retrospective of 1 year of war, and most importantly, why Ukraine, after losing Mariupol, took the worst decision ever, and because of that, they lost the war.


I say that they lost the war already, because the numbers don't lie, and I am not going to talk about casualties only. What is going on since late summer or 2022, is similar to what took place in WW2 after Soviet operation Bagration : an inevitable, bloody, slow pacing demise of the German forces and official defeat of Germany.



Not many remember, but when Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, they did it with roughly 230k troops, against 700k Ukrainian forces (Army and Territorial Defense, nationalist - Azov, Kraken, Aidar, etc.-, volunteer corps, etc.).


It is HIGHLY IMPORTANT to understand those numbers, especially the 700k on Ukraine side.



After Mariupol fell, Zelinski warned that 1 million UKR army will defeat the invaders and take everything they lost back. Those weren't EMPTY words. In fact, Ukraine drafted almost 500,000 men after Mariupol, and tens of thousands of mercs flocked to Ukraine.


The vast majority of Ukrainian initial 700k troops was still intact in May 2022, after Mariupol fell, and by the end of summer of 2022, Ukraine had almost 1.2 million people under arms, with tens of thousands of mercs in addition to that.



Again, a number to remember : 1.2 million men, give it or take.


Ukraine, while being trained by NATO, did not fought like NATO, they fought like OLD Russians, and this means HIGH USAGE of ammunition and expendable manpower.


The NEW Russians are still using a lot of ammo, but unlike the OLD Russians, the manpower is considered VALUABLE.



In the first months of invasion, Russians destroyed pretty much every factory in Ukraine that could make ammo, every ammo depot that they were able to locate, and most ammo deliveries from the West.



Ukraine, by doing mass mobilization, in conditions of a depleting (but still OK) ammo supply was the worst decision ever.


Not only that those troops had to be supplied with ammo, which wasn't (for obvious reasons) equally distributed, most going to the actual Army and Nationalists, with leftovers to Territorial Defense (and this is known since summer of 2022, with dozens of videos complaining about that), but Russians endless attacks on the entire front line since the summer, strained the logistics of Ukrainians, and when Russia started to hit trains substations, it got much worse.


Still, most Territorial Defense units close to front line had to be supplied with more ammo then those in the back, since many of them were sent to defend positions that Ukraine would lose, in order to save their actual Army units.



There is one thing to have plenty of ammo for 700k troops before the invasion, and a whole other thing to barely have ENOUGH ammo for 1.2 million troops, after most of your depots and factories were blown up.



Most analysts believe that Ukraine still have around 500k troops, but those analysts still using the 700k troops that Ukraine had before invasion, completely disregarding the mass drafting that took place after Mariupol.


People often ask why Ukraine didn't retreated from Severodonetsk, Lysichanks, Lyman, Zolote, Gorlovka, etc. etc. when it was clear that those place would fell anyway.


The correct answer is that Ukraine believed that they have plenty of troops to keep delaying (and in the process killing) the Russians, and yes, they did had 1.2 million bodies to throw in the battle.



But they were wrong, each and every time, because Russians DID NOT sent in MEN to assault those cities and locations, they simply bombed them to hell and back, keeping Ukraine casualties at a maximum, while lowering theirs.



And now, after one year of war, we have to ask ourselves :


IF Ukraine had 1.2 million men in the summer of 2022, and around 500k as we speak...WHERE ARE THE OTHER 700k?


Well, the other 700k are in a grave, in a prisoner camp or at home, wounded beyond recovery for combat duty. It is no wonder that a tweet from Jeffrey Sachs got swept under the rug, as fast as it appeared, a tweet that cited an unnamed CNN source that Ukraine casualties are 260k dead, 247k wounded, 84k deserters/MIA and 28k prisoners, as of February 28th, 2023.



If you put the above numbers together, you get almost 620k casualties on Ukraine side, quite close to 700k that I believe to be the real number of Ukraine's casualties of war.



This happened EXACTLY because Ukraine drafted WAY TO MANY MEN, gave them WAY TO LITTLE AMMO, and sent them to the front. No wonder that they got obliterated, because they had no ammo to properly fight.



Now, the situation in Bakhmut is MUCH WORSE then Severodonetsk or Lysichansk. Those encirclements were not as tight as Bakhmut, and the garrison that was lost was MUCH SMALLER, even tho the cities were bigger then Bakhmut.



So, WHY Ukraine is so incredibly stubborn in resisting at Bakhmut?



Some of the answers I pointed in my last update, but let me do it properly in this update.



The matter of fact is that Ukraine is running out of troops and ammo, because of the conditions that I have already specified. The matter of the fact is that Bakhmut is not defended by Territorial Defense units, which were used at every cauldron before, in order to save the better troops.
The matter of the fact is that there are around 15k troops trapped inside Bakhmut, while in other cases, the biggest garrison was Severodonetsk, around 3k troops.



But MOST IMPORTANTLY, those trapped in Bakhmut are among THE BEST TROOPS of Ukrainian regular army and mercenary units.



They were sent in Bakhmut to HOLD IT AT ANY PRICE (which they will, and they will all end up dead or captured), because Bakhmut is of strategic importance not just for the Donetsk front, but for the ENTIRE front line.



The loss of Bakhmut will shorten the conflict (unless, ofc, NATO doesn't step in) by probably 6 months. In the hands of the Russians, Bakhmut will become the best logistic center for Donetsk front. Almost every important city in a 100 km radius of Bakhmut, that Ukraine still holds, is going to be a death trap once Bakhmut is taken (and restored - railways, bridges, roads) by the Russians.



Another very important aspect is that once Bakhmut is taken, TENS OF THOUSANDS of Russian forces will be freed, and redeployed...and since Ukraine is facing a massive front line, with less then half of the troops that they had in the summer, no matter where those Russian troops will be redeployed, it will cause an imbalance of forces on the respective redeployed location.



Remember what I have told you back in early January 2023? That the offensive already started (but I have also said that I don't know how big or how good or bad it will be), BUT NOTHING OF IMPORTANCE will happen before Bakhmut falls?



Many people also wonder where are the 300k mobilized Russian troops, along almost 100k volunteers. The answer is that they are WAITING...waiting for Bakhmut to fall.



This are the consequences of Bakhmut falling to the Russians:

1.Around 15,000 of the best troops of Ukraine will be lost.
2.It will open up a huge logistic advantage for Russia.
3.It will be a huge moral blow for Ukraine and a huge moral boost for the Russians.
4.It will free tens of thousands of Russian troops to be redeployed.




All of the above will create the perfect conditions for the 400,000 Russian troops waiting on the sides to be ACTIVATED across the entire front line, while opening new fronts on Kharkiv and Sumy regions.



And this is what will shorten the war, especially because Ukraine manpower is depleted, their ammo stocks are depleted, there isn't anything coming from the West before the summer, and Ukraine is going to be erased from the map, regardless if NATO intervenes or not.



Ukraine and the globalists lost the war in the summer, falling to the Russian trap, that they can be beaten, that their troops are demoralized, that they have no missiles left, etc. etc., all the stupid propaganda that Russians themselves helped A LOT to take place, by appearing WEAK.

Last Edited by Recollector on 03/08/2023 10:46 AM

Thank you for the pin, LJS, and Happy International Women's Day, to you and all women on GLP !

Thanks DR for your update again. :-)

You are most welcome, and thank you

This is one of the most honest and accurate posts regarding the RUS/UKR war.

Anyone lying to you and saying Ukraine is winning this war or can win it is just yet another tard.

Russia has already won.

When you see how brain dead these people (out of ignoring their intuition and sheer laziness) you almost sympathize with our overlords’ hatred of the masses.

Thank you, DR, for your continued very informative updates!

Hey idiot, if you are going to attempt to falsify a comment, and try to make it appear as mine, at least do the extra work of attempting to use verbiage that might actually appear to have come from me.

I don't read "riot" acts. That is plebe phrasing that comes from someone such as yourself.

Oh, and fuck you.

Britain announces new military base in Norway's far north as a hub for Royal Marines Commandos who will be 'the tip of the Arctic spear' on NATO's northern flank as Putin continues to threaten Europe

The UK has announced the opening of a military base in the far north of Norway as a hub for Royal Marine Commandos to strengthen NATO's capabilities in the Arctic amid concerns following Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine.

The newly-established Norwegian site, called Camp Viking, is located around 40 miles south of Tromso, near the village of Øverbygd.

The purpose-built base will be able to accommodate all personnel from the elite commando-led Royal Marines force which reacts to emerging crises in Europe.

The Britain's Royal Navy described the troops as 'the tip of the Arctic spear' and 'the unit the UK turns to when it needs troops able to fight in cold weather extremes'.

The commandos build on an Arctic warfare heritage going back to the Second World War but, with the re-emergence of the High North as a key theatre, needed new facilities for a modern era, the statement said.

[link to www.dailymail.co.uk (secure)]

Nope.

You are slated for pop reduction.

Bump for this thread tho and wish it well as it is a most important thinking thread on here.

My regards to the DR.

Thank you DR one more time for your precious updates on the side of the Thruth.
God Bless you.

[link to vm.tiktok.com (secure)]

OP I don't understand romanian

Is he really saying Romania is going to war?

Not, not really. Kinda.


It is a bit complicated, the Romanian Parliament voted on a Declaration, which is basically saying that Russia bad and asking Russia to withdraw from Ukraine.


The Declaration is empty words, non-binding, but still, it expresses the official position of Romanian Parliament regarding the conflict in Ukraine.



Now, we are heavily preparing for war, just second to Poland, but not because of what was voted in the Parliament.



I should probably have an update regarding Transnistria, which is, as a red line, the equivalent of attacking Belarus or Kalinigrad.. Might sound crazy, but is in fact, true.


By doing this update, people will understand why Romania is already prepared to enter the war, the same way Poland is, but for different reasons.

just saw Russia unleashed on Ukraine. Is it the area you updated on ?

No.


There were some missiles flying over Moldova and Transnistria, on their way to Western Ukraine, but that was all.


The update on Transnistria will be to shed light on a powder keg, and why Romania is going to be instantly dragged in Ukraine if certain events take place in Transnistria and Moldova.

Last Edited by Recollector on 03/09/2023 09:56 AM

Quite pathetic.

Someone who spends their day fabricating posts in effort to harass someone who finds them invisible.

Desperate effort for any attention, in any manner possible.

You are like a scorned, middle aged woman.

I wish the world would wake up and see this war for what it is.
Bottom line is using our people for cannon fodder.
I don't want my grandsons used for this.

Thank you DR for this rhread. Glp is lucky to have you :)

Thread: US AWACS operating in conjunction with Ukraine Defense Forces. B52's circling over Bulgaria


relevant ?

The camp in Øverbygd is not new, and the brits have used it for several seasons. [link to forsvaretsforum.no (secure)]
The Dutch used to use it before.
There normally are NATO winter exercises based from north Norway

Last Edited by Northlights on 03/11/2023 01:08 PM

27 million dead after stopping another drug addict pushed into Russia with Anglo complicity and these decadent degenerate plutocratic globalist elites believe they are going to tear Russia apart and annihilate it. Neither Hitler nor Napoleon could and an army of woke transvestites with fluid gender identity will. The Russians are defeated when they defeat themselves, which is what happened with Perestroika.

But from there to believe that you are going to defeat a NUCLEAR power militarily with a fucking existential trauma of invasions from the West. Rather than let themselves be defeated, the Russians shoot fireworks. These American fucking elites look like they've been pulled from a retard contest. If any serious American statesman comes, like Eisenhower or Roosevelt, he'll beat them to hell.