WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

Reminder map….

https://imgur.com/a/8Db9Bvy

Why Estonia ??

https://twitter.com/_/status/1626644661182861326

Or today ;)

This update is going to be quite long, and will focus, mostly, on what is going on beyond the Ukraine front lines, but I will make some references about situation in Ukraine, albeit only in relation to much bigger moves outside of it.


Please try to understand that I do have multiple contacts in places that allow me to see a bigger picture (not with extreme clarity, but still), and there is one contact that I haven't yet talked to, for a very simple reason : it is family, it is a high ranking (retired) general in the Romanian army (he was the one that insisted I will follow a military school), and the only way to talk to him is on the phone, which for obvious reasons I won't ask him sensitive topics.



Anyway, I do still have a lot lower level contacts in the military (former military school friends, most of them Colonels) and they do tell me as much as they can.


Before going on what is happening in Romania (and I am 100% sure the same is happening in Poland, but on a much larger scale), I want to do a brief time table on how the conflict got to this very dangerous point.



When Russia invaded, the West was like this : we'll do sanctions and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, but NO WAY TO SEND THEM WEAPONS and it was repeated at nauseaum the "NATO will not engage in direct conflict with Russia.


Needless to say, they went from non-lethal aid (combat helmets, medical vehicles, etc.), to "just defensive" military aid (Javs, NLAWS, air defense etc.), to offensive weapons (helicopters, howitzers, HIMARS, IFVs, etc.) and it ended up with promise to send tanks, but no fighter jets, because it will take too long, bla-bla-bla.



You all know that very early in the conflict, when they started to send more serious weapons, I have said that most of those will never go to Ukraine, but it will instead be amassed in Western Ukraine, Poland and Romania.


All the BS about "only 30% of the weapons and ammo actually reach the front lines" was in fact propaganda, because yes, the OTHER 70% are in reserve, in Western Ukraine and Poland.



Up until 10 days ago, maybe 2 weeks, the "Ukraine is winning" narrative changed, and it changed into "If Ukraine doesn't get tanks and jets, they will lose", and once it was clear that NATO will never send neither tanks, nor jets (because obviously they will NEED THEM), now the narrative changed again, into "Well, Russia cannot be trusted, they are war criminals, Ukraine only way it's victory, but they can't do, and if they can't do it, NATO must intervene directly".



I believe that most of you understood that the "NATO is out of ammo" is purely BS, right?



Sure, NATO might be low on CERTAIN ammo (like 155mm arty shells and anti-tank missiles), but it is far from being OUT of them, and since we all know that NATO is virtually and EXCLUSIVELY an air and naval army (the actually ground army on NATO, and yes, including the U.S. are shit, and just an appendix to air and navy), there is plenty of air-to-air, cruise missiles, naval specific artillery shells and missiles, etc. etc. to sustain a SHORT, and I repeat, SHORT war against Russia.



While this is the belief in Washington, that air and navy will do enough harm to Russia to at least force it to negotiation table (some idiots actually believe that NATO air force will destroy Russian military in 72 hours), the Europeans are FAR FROM THIS BELIEF.



The preparations that are taking place in Romania (and I bet it's 100% the same in Poland) are for a GROUND WAR OF DEFENSE against Russia. Multiple military bases in Romania are full of NATO engineers from Netherlands, Portugal, France, Spain, Italy, with mine layers, tractors, bulldozers and excavators ready to move and start building defensive lines...IN WESTERN ROMANIA.


Not in the East, no...the belief is that once it starts, NATO won't be able to defend Moldova and Eastern Romania, and the HOPE is that Russia will stop at Dniepr, and the whole NATO forces will battle the Russians in Central Ukraine. Either way, no one is preparing to defend anything east of Carpathian Mountains.




We have very important events coming this month, and in order, they will be :

1.Biden visit to Poland (20th-22nd)
2.Putin speech to the nation (21st)
3.Russian Federation extraordinary meeting of Federation Council and Duma (22nd)
4.U.N.S.C. to vote on Russian allegation on Nord Stream against the U.S. (22nd,23rd or 24th)
5.China's Xi addressing world peace (whatever this means, because I believe it will be about war, and not peace).



Russia is prepared to expand it's offensive (as I correctly assumed, the offensive started in early January, with the attack on Soledar, and everything that happened after) beyond current front lines (Kherson, Zaporoje, Donetsk and Lugansk), but, as I stated also in early January, at least for now, an attack from Belarus is excluded, and it will ONLY TAKE PLACE if Belarus is attacked or NATO enters Western Ukraine.



That will be the point when Belarus enters the war, and it will 100% happen, because NATO will 100% enter Western Ukraine shortly (and by shortly I mean probably weeks) after Russian offensive expands to Sumy and Kharkiv regions.



However, as I said also a good while ago, Russian offensive won't expand BEFORE Bakhmut falls (or it is isolated, which is the same thing), and my reasoning was that Bakhmut is both strategically important but also, and I think much more important, it will be morally devastating for Ukraine, so this is when Russia "re-invades" in Sumy and Kharkiv.



Outside the obvious that will happen when NATO enters the war directly (well, more directly then did up to now, with mercs, targeting, comms and spy planes/drones), TWO THING WILL INSTANTLY HAPPEN, IN THE SAME TIME :



One one side, the Ukrainian army morale after losing Bakhmut will be lifted SKY-HIGH when NATO joins, but on the other side, the ENTIRE RUSSIAN PEOPLE AND ARMY WILL RALLY FOR WAR.



Europeans will start shitting bricks (they already do), the Americans won't know what is going on (they are too busy looking for balloons, trains, and the usual wokism, fast food and sports) until missiles start falling on their cities, the Ukrainians will quickly be demoralized again (once THE REAL WAR STARTS, with massive air bombing campaigns and missiles strikes that world never witnessed before) while the Chinese will really HAVE TO CLEARLY TAKE A SIDE and the Indians will simply hope for the best.




I have also said that Russia mobilized far more then 300,000 people, and it is pretty clear that they did it. How many more, we don't know, but it probably around 500k more, at this stage.



What I am really happy about, is that my theory that Russia prepared this for at least since 2014, is only recently realized by people like McGregor, Ritter, Duran's Alex and Alexander, etc.



Soon they will realize that what I have said when the invasion started, that Russia set up a trap for the West, is also right.




But, aside the ephemeral "I told you so", things are really, really BAD. I don't have to say it again, but I have to : world is facing either a LONG CONVENTIONAL WAR (years) across many countries, or a very short conventional war that will quickly go nuclear, to the tactical nukes levels, and God help us, this will be it, and strategic nukes won't be used.



As people, we will get through WW3 as long as it doesn't go to the strategic nuclear levels, and to be honest, the only PRAYER we can realistically say is that it won't beyond tactical nukes, because praying for peace is, sadly, TOO LATE.

Thanks DR for your latest update.

Thanks.

So are you thinking the missiles falling on US cities is an inevitable outcome at this point? If so, thinking that will be early on to demoralize Americans or later when things spread more regional?

Thank you for the update.

I was just saying that Americans are virtually clueless, and unless missiles will drop on their cities, they won't have any idea what is happening, because they have other "priorities", like balloons, trains, fast food, wokeism and sports.



But yes, it is entirely possible to see U.S. being hit, if the U.S. opts for the only best option they got (or at least they think is the best) against Russia is a massive air and missile campaign.

You are correct. Most Americans care about little more that mindless football and other no-load distraction BS.

It is pathetic and disgusting how dumbed down we have collectively become.

One clear fact: the world has never returned to "normal", and it never will.

It's still about COVID.... and thanks for the excellent link anyway!

:)

So that's why Ukraine seems like a bottomless pit where armament and money is disappearing in.

Is any of this activity actually hidden, or has the world community an open view on this?

I am not sure it's MOST Americans. A large part of the population certainly is what we are talking about here, the least educated in fact.The better educated, from the right as well the left ends of the spectrum, probably far less.

One aspect of American culture that I alway found repulsive and that illustrates this well is the vast number of fraternity and sorority movies showing the public an extremely depraved picture of student life in the US.

And you can count TV shows such as "Workaholics" in it. That one is literally trying to be as disgusting as possible.

Thanks for your update!

So WW3 is only weeks away...

What is your plan OP?

Well, it is hidden in the sense that MSM doesn't report about it. The amount of military equipment that went to Ukraine through Romania ALONE, doesn't add up in Russian Federation reports regarding losses of Ukraine.


I believe that the hardware delivered through Poland is 3-4 times bigger then what was delivered through Romania.


Even according to the most pessimistic losses on Ukraine side, Ukraine should still have over 1,000 tanks and at least 2,500 armored vehicles, yet, on the front lines, since over a week ago, there are ZERO Ukrainian tanks, and pretty much every video of Ukrainian troops since the start of this month, had NO TANKS, not even one, and the number of IFVs and APCs is abysmal.


Most vehicles are pick-ups, trucks, and maybe 3-4 IFVs. The MOST I have seen was about a half battalion strength (400 people) with several trucks, 7 IFVs and 5 APCs. Not even a single tank. And this was very recently, in the Kreminna area.


What Ukraine had, what they officially received doesn't add up with losses and what they have on the front lines.



And I don't buy into smuggling of tanks, IFVs and artillery. The West isn't that stupid. They know what is going on, they know this is going to go to WW3.



Ukraine got exactly what they needed to slow down the Russian, the rest is hidden in Western Ukraine and Poland (mostly) and Romania (some). They simply hold every location with infantry, they lost hundreds of thousands of men, but most equipment they "received" is well preserved away from the front lines.

The other day (maybe a wsek ago) I watched a piece of TV news showing Putin who said "Russian inhabitants of Donbass have been terrorized by native Ukrainians since 2014 and we are trying to protect them" - more or less these words.

This is perfectly clear, isn't it? That would be why he refused to call it a war or an invasion as indeed it is not about territory.

If you care to think about it, this takes us back to the origins of WWII.

Who said this?

Yes HE will.

But OP, no one in the military knows the real picture:
there is another enemy noone talks about,
noone sees the mud army, billions of people strong
who also dream of owning the whole world.

They are very quiet ...

Some shock will happen,
then they start their take over.

And it is not Russia.


.

“I always thought that democracy was the power of the people, but Comrade Roosevelt lucidly explained to me that democracy is the power of the American people.”

I think Stalin misunderstood, I correct him.

“I always thought that democracy was the power of the people, but Comrade Roosevelt lucidly explained to me that democracy is the power of the American oligarchs.”

If that is so then Russia surely is closely following all of that as they too have plenty of sats... and preparations are being made to cover all scenarios.

The biggest miscalculation-risk right now is for the USA to believe that Russia by being "busy" with Ukraine is being weakened, when the exact opposite is true. This false belief may prompt the ultimate red-line crossing that will bring about kinetic WW3.

I just realized I made a big mistake (after watching this latest Nuclear radiation video from Canadian Prepper) when buying radiation detector, all my 5 detectors (different brand) will detect beta, gamma and x-ray but not alpha radiation.

My consideration last time is that since alpha can't get through a piece of paper, clothing and skin etc., I am safe and can forget about detecting it.

I totally forgot about what if I eat it (alpha particles) or breathe it in?


The following I googled from internet explains the relationship among alpha, beta and gamma radiation.


You have three cookies. One emits alpha radiation, one emits beta radiation and one emits gamma radiation. You have to eat one, put another in your pocket and put a third into a lead box. Which do you put where? Explain.

I would eat the gamma one because gamma radiations could easily go ouside my body without much harm (those are just high energy photons)

The alpha one emit just helium nucleus and those are easily stopped by a sheet of paper. So i'd put it in my pocket.

The beta one emit electrons or positrons with can damage my DNA so i'd put him in the lead box which would bloc most of them.


In terms of how ionizing the radiation is, from greatest to lowest it goes: Alpha, beta, gamma, so whilst alpha radiation might not be able to get past a piece of paper it's also the most dangerous.





Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 02/19/2023 09:35 PM

Auch Atomwaffen-Tests denkbar Putin: Russland setzt Atom-Abrüstungsvertrag "New Start" aus

[link to www.n-tv.de (secure)]

there we go....

It was hard for me to understand what Putin said.

When I understood him, I got chills.

He has said that he is going to make nuclear hypersonic missiles like there is no tomorrow.

And he has told us that France, USA and UK have most of their nuclear bombs expired or about to expire this year.

It is difficult for me to understand diplomatic language, but in this case I have seen it clearly.

Chinese curse: "I hope you live in interesting times"

An extremely short update, regarding 2 of the events that I listed in my bigger update : Putin's speech and Biden's speech.


As you know, my personal beliefs on events are opposite of what almost everyone else believes. And I am usually right, more often then not, even if sometimes it's just a time difference.


Did today's speeches (both Putin and Biden) were insignificant?


Whoever thinks that they were insignificant, is, I am sorry to say, an idiot.



The CONTENT of the speeches is IRRELEVANT. Both were pure propaganda, aimed to their target public, exactly as most expected to be.


What is absolutely RELEVANT is the fact that the time for SPEECHES is OVER. The show for the pleebs is over. We're not going to see any other big speeches.


What we are going to see next is ACTION.




If anyone expected Putin or Biden to be fiery and give signs of what is coming, is delusional. We have the leader of the West and the leader of the REST, speaking in the same day, saying nothing, basically, except that hard times are coming.




And they are coming, and will come FAST.



We have 2 more events to happen : UNSC vote on Nord Stream investigation and Xi speech.



Once 2 those events will be OVER, and that is on 24th of February, things will heat up, FAST, first in Ukraine, then in Europe, then Iran and then Taiwan.

Last Edited by Recollector on 02/21/2023 01:30 PM

Thank you for your Update DR,

Seeing todays events, im asking myself what will happen next.

My Predicitions for the upcoming weeks:

USA: ensuring the defence of the NATO eastflank from Poland to Romania -> maximing the NATO Troops,Jets,Tanks

Question: maybe setting up defensive lines for an agressive invasion?

Russia: huge breakthroughs in eastern ukraine leading to higher demands from Zelensky.


I guess the trigger will be either russian troops breaking through whole ukraine marching near Khiev or western nations escalating the weapons delivery (JETS)

Someone have to be stupid to think, the investment into ukraine is nothing else als postponing WW3 or direct nato russia confrontion.

Ukraine is the playground for russia to see natos readyness.

We will see.