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Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2016 08:19 PM
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Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
[link to www.theecps.com]


BOSTON, MA – Buoyed by a string of decisive primary wins this past Tuesday, both Hillary Clinton
and Donald Trump hold a commanding lead in New York State, where a victory in the April 19 primary could effectively seal the presidential nomination for both candidates.

With Marco Rubio out of the race, Trump leads his closest rival, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, by 52
points (64% to 12%). Rubio received 4% of the vote before suspending his campaign. Ohio Governor John Kasich earned just 1%, getting no bounce from his recent home-field victory in the Buckeye State. In a hypothetical, two-man matchup between Trump and Cruz, Trump leads 69% to 25%.
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03/17/2016 08:35 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
dance
QCluminati

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03/17/2016 08:36 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
TSTrump
Unvaxxed because fuck you
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03/17/2016 08:38 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
CA is Trump 58% Cruz 19% Colorado has Trump 68% & NY has him at 64% These states are talking directly to the RNC
QCluminati

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03/17/2016 08:43 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
what are the winning conditions in these 2 states?
proportional, Winner take all ?
Unvaxxed because fuck you
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2016 08:44 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
Now the important question.

What are the voter turn out numbers for each party in New York?
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
what are the winning conditions in these 2 states?
proportional, Winner take all ?
 Quoting: QCluminati


Cali is winner take all. I don't know about NY
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03/17/2016 08:47 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
what are the winning conditions in these 2 states?
proportional, Winner take all ?
 Quoting: QCluminati



California is winner take all by districts and state
Colorado is majority take all Caucus
New York is winner take most primary
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03/17/2016 08:51 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
One of Trump,s tenants in CA employs 47921 people in California & his company's taxes are a windfall for the state.
davvi

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03/17/2016 09:01 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
what are the winning conditions in these 2 states?
proportional, Winner take all ?
 Quoting: QCluminati


"Tuesday 19 April 2016: All 95 of New York's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's New York Presidential Primary. [Rules of the New York Republican State Committee. Article XI. Rule 1.]


•81 district delegates are bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state's 27 congressional districts. Each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates who are slated by the Presidential candidates prior to the primary. In each district:

•If a candidate receives more than 50% or only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate receives all 3 delegates.

•Otherwise, if at least 2 presidential contenders receive 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes receives 2 delegates and the candidate with the second most of votes receives 1 delegate.

•Otherwise, if no presidential contender receives 20% or more of the vote, the party will elect 3 delegates without considering the results of the primary.

•14 At-Large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) are bound to presidential contenders "winner-take-most" based on the statewide primary results. 11 of these delegates (the 10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates) are elected at the state committee meeting.

•If a candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, that candidate receives all 14 delegates.

•Otherwise, the delegates are distributed proportionally to those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote. Round fractions to the nearest whole number. If too few delegates are allocated, the candidate receiving the largest vote receives those the remaining delegates. If too many delegates are allocated, subtract those delegates from the candidate(s) who met the threshold but had the smallest number of votes."

[link to www.thegreenpapers.com]


95 delegates, with "winner take most." I think Trump will take them all if the polls are accurate.

Last Edited by deplorable but adorable davvi on 03/17/2016 09:02 PM
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03/17/2016 10:33 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
bump
Booger Cancer

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03/17/2016 11:00 PM
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Re: Emerson Poll NY, March 14-16:: Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%
what are the winning conditions in these 2 states?
proportional, Winner take all ?
 Quoting: QCluminati


"Tuesday 19 April 2016: All 95 of New York's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's New York Presidential Primary. [Rules of the New York Republican State Committee. Article XI. Rule 1.]


•81 district delegates are bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state's 27 congressional districts. Each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates who are slated by the Presidential candidates prior to the primary. In each district:

•If a candidate receives more than 50% or only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate receives all 3 delegates.

•Otherwise, if at least 2 presidential contenders receive 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes receives 2 delegates and the candidate with the second most of votes receives 1 delegate.

•Otherwise, if no presidential contender receives 20% or more of the vote, the party will elect 3 delegates without considering the results of the primary.

•14 At-Large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) are bound to presidential contenders "winner-take-most" based on the statewide primary results. 11 of these delegates (the 10 base at-large delegates plus 1 bonus delegates) are elected at the state committee meeting.

•If a candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, that candidate receives all 14 delegates.

•Otherwise, the delegates are distributed proportionally to those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote. Round fractions to the nearest whole number. If too few delegates are allocated, the candidate receiving the largest vote receives those the remaining delegates. If too many delegates are allocated, subtract those delegates from the candidate(s) who met the threshold but had the smallest number of votes."

[link to www.thegreenpapers.com]

Thank you for sharing this information.

95 delegates, with "winner take most." I think Trump will take them all if the polls are accurate.
 Quoting: davvi


If Trump receives 62% while Cruz were to get only 12%, as a practical matter Trump is likely to win every district and thus win 100% of the delegates for the entire state or come very close to it.

It would be a crushing outcome for Cruz.

Trump is going to end up with a hell of a lot more than the 1,237 delegates needed for the majority if numbers like these hold up.

Last Edited by Booger Cancer on 03/17/2016 11:01 PM
Yes, I did cure my Stage 4 cancer in two weeks when I was 48. I also reversed my chronic kidney disease (glomerulonephritis) when I was 25. In neither case were any medical treatments involved.





GLP