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Message Subject Win $100,000 by Proving Global Warming is Real
Poster Handle Turkey456
Post Content
That's easy. Recorded data speaks for itself.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 44783205


No
 Quoting: Turkey456


It does. Now, whether or not human activities have caused the increase is debatable, but the Earth has warmed as a whole.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 44783205


No! You have not analyzed the data? You are regurgitating what you have been told.

Nonlinear Trends
There is no a priori physical reason why the long-term trend in climate variables should be linear in time. Climatic time series often have trends for which a straight line is not a good approximation (e.g., Seidel and Lanzante, 2004). The residuals from a linear fit in time often do not follow a simple autoregressive or moving average process, and linear trend estimates can easily change when recalculated for shorter or longer time periods or when new data are added. When linear trends for two parts of a longer time series are calculated separately, the trends calculated for two shorter periods may be very different (even in sign) from the trend in the full period, if the time series exhibits significant
nonlinear behavior in time....
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