ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!! | |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 48848344 United States 10/28/2013 01:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New studies suggest that the comet's nucleus has a good chance of surviving its close passage of the Sun, but there are a lot of unknowns that could swing the result either way....(snip) ...But the comet also has to contend with tidal forces. Close to the Sun, the comet will experience a stronger gravitational pull on the Sun-facing side than on its far side. These tidal forces could stretch the nucleus out like a cigar and, if the pull is strong enough, break the nucleus apart. Solar radiation will erode these smaller pieces more effectively, lowering the comet’s chances for survival.(snip) He puts the odds of survival above 50%, but jokes that the error bars on that estimate are “plus or minus 100%.” more here: [link to www.skyandtelescope.com] |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 48848344 United States 10/28/2013 01:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This observer's blog has a visual chart of ISON for every day! Here's his graphics for November (just scroll down): [link to waitingforison.wordpress.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37009507 United States 10/28/2013 02:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | FLASHBACK:In 2011 Comet Elenin disintegrated as it approached the sun. Quoting: Hugh M Eye COMET CORPSE: "Doomsday Comet" Elenin was briefly famous for inaccurate predictions that it might hit Earth. Instead it disintegrated as it approached the sun last month. (Doomsday canceled.) Over the weekend, Italian astronomer Rolando Ligustri spotted the comet's remains. It's the elongated cloud in this Oct. 22nd photo of the star field where Elenin would have appeared if it were still intact: (snip) Pic and more here from Spaceweather.com's Time Machine: [link to www.spaceweather.com] Does anyone remember how close Elenin was to perihelion when it went 'poof'? I think it was about a month out......just like ISON. Hmmmm. Well, I hope ISON survives and just gets even brighter. There was a theory I've never heard of below the pics, wouldn't the same be our future if true?-- "Bonus: Magnetic umbrellas are at the heart of one of Mars's greatest mysteries: What happened to the atmosphere? Billions of years ago, the air on Mars was thick enough to protect vast expanses of water on the planet’s surface. Now, however, the atmosphere is 100 times thinner than Earth's and the surface is bone dry. Some researchers believe that magnetic storms in the umbrellas could rip parcels of atmosphere away from Mars and propel air-filled magnetic bubbles into space. In this way, space weather could be directly responsible for the desiccation of the Red Planet." |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 48848344 United States 10/28/2013 02:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ROUND 2- Another fast CME was produced by the M5 flare! This may be a Carrington Event for ISON & Mars, LOL. CME#2 movie: [link to www.lmsal.com] SOHO C2 images: [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 48848344 United States 10/28/2013 02:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Awesome Solarsoft-SDO close-up movie of the M5.1 flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] Lots of Radio Emission alerts issued by NOAA for these two back-to-back eruptions- Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 434 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0518 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0437 UTC Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 885 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0517 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0437 UTC Estimated Velocity: 508 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 593 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0510 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0438 UTC Maximum Time: 2013 Oct 28 0438 UTC End Time: 2013 Oct 28 0439 UTC Duration: 1 minutes Peak Flux: 170 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 167 sfu Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 884 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0458 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0200 UTC Estimated Velocity: 451 km/s Comment: Speed estimate is prelimiary. Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. NOAA Interactive Alerts/Warnings chart: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 48848344 United States 10/28/2013 02:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48982683 United States 10/28/2013 02:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
User ID: 44557506 United States 10/28/2013 02:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Mr. Toppit
User ID: 26466623 United States 10/28/2013 02:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 03:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | FLASHBACK:In 2011 Comet Elenin disintegrated as it approached the sun. Quoting: Hugh M Eye COMET CORPSE: "Doomsday Comet" Elenin was briefly famous for inaccurate predictions that it might hit Earth. Instead it disintegrated as it approached the sun last month. (Doomsday canceled.) Over the weekend, Italian astronomer Rolando Ligustri spotted the comet's remains. It's the elongated cloud in this Oct. 22nd photo of the star field where Elenin would have appeared if it were still intact: (snip) Pic and more here from Spaceweather.com's Time Machine: [link to www.spaceweather.com] Does anyone remember how close Elenin was to perihelion when it went 'poof'? I think it was about a month out......just like ISON. Hmmmm. Well, I hope ISON survives and just gets even brighter. There was a theory I've never heard of below the pics, wouldn't the same be our future if true?-- "Bonus: Magnetic umbrellas are at the heart of one of Mars's greatest mysteries: What happened to the atmosphere? Billions of years ago, the air on Mars was thick enough to protect vast expanses of water on the planet’s surface. Now, however, the atmosphere is 100 times thinner than Earth's and the surface is bone dry. Some researchers believe that magnetic storms in the umbrellas could rip parcels of atmosphere away from Mars and propel air-filled magnetic bubbles into space. In this way, space weather could be directly responsible for the desiccation of the Red Planet." Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 42938467 United States 10/28/2013 03:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48929708 United States 10/28/2013 03:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA has already issued a Proton Warning for this event. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 405 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0233 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2013 Oct 28 0235 UTC Valid To: 2013 Oct 28 1400 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 90 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0219 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0141 UTC Maximum Time: 2013 Oct 28 0203 UTC End Time: 2013 Oct 28 0212 UTC X-ray Class: X1.0 Optical Class: 2n Location: N04W66 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Here's the GOES X-Ray flux monitor: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And the GOES Proton Flux Monitor: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Even more reason H.R. 2417 needs ore public and political attention. USA is spending it's money on DHS war equipment that will be needed after the crisis. They apparently don't think hardening the infrastructure is cost effective. They'd rather create a military police force to *protect* people after damage then protect from the act of god event itself. |
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
User ID: 44557506 United States 10/28/2013 03:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 42938467 United States 10/28/2013 03:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 03:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48525015 Australia 10/28/2013 03:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 03:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This sounds like DOOMSDAY for science's theory that little comets don't have a direct relationship with the Sun. Quoting: NewThor If the SUN destroys ELENIN and ISON - You chaps going to claim coincidence as you tell us OBAMAcare is good for everyone, Quantitative Easing helps boost hiring and The Government will handle Global Warming like a saint? Good show, chappy! Great posts chappy. Dead on Thor. Dirty snowball, lol the name of my next adult film project I think... Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 03:53 AM Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48989399 United States 10/28/2013 04:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity. [link to www.solarham.net] unreal |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 04:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here comes the boom.... Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 04:01 AM Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
User ID: 44557506 United States 10/28/2013 04:01 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48989399 [link to www.solarham.net] unreal |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 04:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Dammit Thor.. ihope you're working on a video as I type this... Cant wait to hear your play by play Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48442153 Canada 10/28/2013 04:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
AzaMorey_HollyWood
User ID: 47753144 Australia 10/28/2013 04:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48989399 [link to www.solarham.net] unreal Shit, when Geo is a positive influence on a "doom" thread I start to get scared. But honestly got a doom boner hehe. Where's that hammer Thor? SO MANY ASSHOLES....SO FEW LIGHT SABERS! "AZAMOREY" :SNAPPER: |
Liquid_Pestilence
User ID: 26997671 United States 10/28/2013 04:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 21765116 Netherlands 10/28/2013 04:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Stripper Orphanage
User ID: 46856858 United States 10/28/2013 04:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good night guys.. if were still here in the morning... ill be looking for your video Thor... Give me a shout out in the middle of the doom OP, chappy.... 5***** bud. Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 04:37 AM Please send my shill checks to: 2600 Scenic dr Austin TX 78703 If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3. "- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal ? |
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
User ID: 44557506 United States 10/28/2013 04:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Truthseeker2
User ID: 34943138 United States 10/28/2013 05:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Maybe ISON is the red herring. Lots of attention on ISON. Is it a diversion for something much bigger? What Obama and NASA don’t want you to know! [link to stateofthenation2012.com] The BIGGEST Coverup in USA History [link to cosmicconvergence.org] Must Read! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 45645567 Canada 10/28/2013 05:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 45645567 Canada 10/28/2013 05:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |