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ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!

 
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 01:44 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
ISON’s Chances for Survival 50/50

New studies suggest that the comet's nucleus has a good chance of surviving its close passage of the Sun, but there are a lot of unknowns that could swing the result either way....(snip)

...But the comet also has to contend with tidal forces. Close to the Sun, the comet will experience a stronger gravitational pull on the Sun-facing side than on its far side. These tidal forces could stretch the nucleus out like a cigar and, if the pull is strong enough, break the nucleus apart. Solar radiation will erode these smaller pieces more effectively, lowering the comet’s chances for survival.(snip)

He puts the odds of survival above 50%, but jokes that the error bars on that estimate are “plus or minus 100%.”

more here:
[link to www.skyandtelescope.com]

DOOM is coming
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 01:57 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This observer's blog has a visual chart of ISON for every day! Here's his graphics for November (just scroll down):

[link to waitingforison.wordpress.com]

spock
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 02:16 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
FLASHBACK:In 2011 Comet Elenin disintegrated as it approached the sun.

COMET CORPSE: "Doomsday Comet" Elenin was briefly famous for inaccurate predictions that it might hit Earth. Instead it disintegrated as it approached the sun last month. (Doomsday canceled.) Over the weekend, Italian astronomer Rolando Ligustri spotted the comet's remains. It's the elongated cloud in this Oct. 22nd photo of the star field where Elenin would have appeared if it were still intact: (snip)

Pic and more here from Spaceweather.com's Time Machine:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Does anyone remember how close Elenin was to perihelion when it went 'poof'? I think it was about a month out......just like ISON. Hmmmm. Well, I hope ISON survives and just gets even brighter.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


There was a theory I've never heard of below the pics, wouldn't the same be our future if true?--

"Bonus: Magnetic umbrellas are at the heart of one of Mars's greatest mysteries: What happened to the atmosphere? Billions of years ago, the air on Mars was thick enough to protect vast expanses of water on the planet’s surface. Now, however, the atmosphere is 100 times thinner than Earth's and the surface is bone dry. Some researchers believe that magnetic storms in the umbrellas could rip parcels of atmosphere away from Mars and propel air-filled magnetic bubbles into space. In this way, space weather could be directly responsible for the desiccation of the Red Planet."
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 02:21 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
ROUND 2- Another fast CME was produced by the M5 flare! This may be a Carrington Event for ISON & Mars, LOL.

CME#2 movie:

[link to www.lmsal.com]

SOHO C2 images:

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]


hidinghidinghidingtomatohidinghiding
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 02:33 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Awesome Solarsoft-SDO close-up movie of the M5.1 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Lots of Radio Emission alerts issued by NOAA for these two back-to-back eruptions-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 434
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0518 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0437 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 885
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0517 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0437 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 508 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.


Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 593
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0510 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0438 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 Oct 28 0438 UTC
End Time: 2013 Oct 28 0439 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 170 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 167 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 884
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0458 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0200 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 451 km/s

Comment: Speed estimate is prelimiary.
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

NOAA Interactive Alerts/Warnings chart:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
alone
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 02:33 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
:1875_HMIBC:

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 10/28/2013 02:36 AM
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 02:37 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
manhole5
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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10/28/2013 02:46 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
ArnoldSunDoom
Geoshill


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Mr. Toppit

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10/28/2013 02:51 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This is sunspot #11875, the source of this recent X-flare-

10/27-1875huge
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It looks like an eye.
 Quoting: Elfsong


The eye of Ra
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 03:13 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
FLASHBACK:In 2011 Comet Elenin disintegrated as it approached the sun.

COMET CORPSE: "Doomsday Comet" Elenin was briefly famous for inaccurate predictions that it might hit Earth. Instead it disintegrated as it approached the sun last month. (Doomsday canceled.) Over the weekend, Italian astronomer Rolando Ligustri spotted the comet's remains. It's the elongated cloud in this Oct. 22nd photo of the star field where Elenin would have appeared if it were still intact: (snip)

Pic and more here from Spaceweather.com's Time Machine:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Does anyone remember how close Elenin was to perihelion when it went 'poof'? I think it was about a month out......just like ISON. Hmmmm. Well, I hope ISON survives and just gets even brighter.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


There was a theory I've never heard of below the pics, wouldn't the same be our future if true?--

"Bonus: Magnetic umbrellas are at the heart of one of Mars's greatest mysteries: What happened to the atmosphere? Billions of years ago, the air on Mars was thick enough to protect vast expanses of water on the planet’s surface. Now, however, the atmosphere is 100 times thinner than Earth's and the surface is bone dry. Some researchers believe that magnetic storms in the umbrellas could rip parcels of atmosphere away from Mars and propel air-filled magnetic bubbles into space. In this way, space weather could be directly responsible for the desiccation of the Red Planet."
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37009507


hesrght2
Please send my shill checks to:
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If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 03:22 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
check out the enlil spiral graphs, the sun is goin nuts

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 03:26 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
NOAA has already issued a Proton Warning for this event.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 405
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0233 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2013 Oct 28 0235 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Oct 28 1400 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 90
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0219 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0141 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 Oct 28 0203 UTC
End Time: 2013 Oct 28 0212 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.0
Optical Class: 2n
Location: N04W66
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the GOES X-Ray flux monitor:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

And the GOES Proton Flux Monitor:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Even more reason H.R. 2417 needs ore public and political attention. USA is spending it's money on DHS war equipment that will be needed after the crisis. They apparently don't think hardening the infrastructure is cost effective. They'd rather create a military police force to *protect* people after damage then protect from the act of god event itself.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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10/28/2013 03:26 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
check out the enlil spiral graphs, the sun is goin nuts

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnowboardingAlien


So much activity in this graph my computer doesn't even want to load it. Lol
Geoshill


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Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 03:27 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
so that's 3 more x flares in a week?

total of 6 for the year so far right? last batch of x-flares was 3 of them also
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 03:34 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
comingbro
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 03:40 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
It is just for to power it up! cool2
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 03:52 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This sounds like DOOMSDAY for science's theory that little comets don't have a direct relationship with the Sun.

If the SUN destroys ELENIN and ISON - You chaps going to claim coincidence as you tell us OBAMAcare is good for everyone, Quantitative Easing helps boost hiring and The Government will handle Global Warming like a saint?

Good show, chappy!
 Quoting: NewThor


Great posts chappy.
Dead on Thor. Dirty snowball, lol the name of my next adult film project I think...
hesrght2

Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 03:53 AM
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 04:00 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity.

[link to www.solarham.net]

unreal
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 04:00 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Here comes the boom....

realdoom

Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 04:01 AM
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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United States
10/28/2013 04:01 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity.

[link to www.solarham.net]

unreal
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48989399


hesright
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 04:05 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Dammit Thor.. ihope you're working on a video as I type this...

Cant wait to hear your play by play
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 04:08 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
ISON...
AzaMorey_HollyWood

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10/28/2013 04:10 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
i have honestly never seen this kinda of rapid back to back to back CME activity.

[link to www.solarham.net]

unreal
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48989399


hesright
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Shit, when Geo is a positive influence on a "doom" thread I start to get scared. But honestly got a doom boner hehe. Where's that hammer Thor? hiding
SO MANY ASSHOLES....SO FEW LIGHT SABERS!

"AZAMOREY"

:SNAPPER:
Liquid_Pestilence

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10/28/2013 04:19 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
I SHALL NEED A CIGARETTE FIRST!
 Quoting: NewThor


now get to work
lucky
"Fear paints pictures of ghosts and hangs them in the gallery of ignorance." Robert Green Ingersoll
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 04:20 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
vodka5

DOOM ON!
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 04:30 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Good night guys.. if were still here in the morning... ill be looking for your video Thor...

Give me a shout out in the middle of the doom

OP, chappy.... 5***** bud.

shiney

Last Edited by ( . Y . ) Stripper Orphanage on 10/28/2013 04:37 AM
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

User ID: 44557506
United States
10/28/2013 04:52 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
I SHALL NEED A CIGARETTE FIRST!
 Quoting: NewThor


lucky
Geoshill


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Truthseeker2

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10/28/2013 05:28 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Maybe ISON is the red herring.

Lots of attention on ISON. Is it a diversion for something much bigger?

What Obama and NASA don’t want you to know!

[link to stateofthenation2012.com]

The BIGGEST Coverup in USA History

[link to cosmicconvergence.org]

Must Read!

Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 05:55 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
:bumpzzz:
 Quoting: Liquid_Pestilence


jerkit
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 05:57 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This is sunspot #11875, the source of this recent X-flare-

:10/27-1875huge:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It looks like an eye.
 Quoting: Elfsong


o_O





GLP