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X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 11:42 AM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
I don't care about any flare smaller than a X-5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48911106


We have a winner.
clappa
TS66
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10/25/2013 12:06 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
I don't care about any flare smaller than a X-5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48911106


We have a winner.
clappa
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46678410


It's the size and strength of the resulting CME, not the flare.

wall
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 12:11 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Make that 2 X flares today....X 2.1 just a while ago
calidruid

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10/25/2013 12:16 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Called it last night,along with a couple of other GLP'ers, 1882 is the spot to watch!

Eyes to the skies kids!
"Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude

“This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter
Hugh M Eye

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10/25/2013 12:19 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Pic of X2.1 Flare-
10/25-X2flare

SDO-AIA 131 image of X1 Flare-
:10/25-1882M2:

AR1882 Magnetogram-
:10/25-1882mag:

A Big, fast CME has developed (NOT Earth-directed):

SOHO- [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

STEREO B- [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
~OneSpirit~

User ID: 48550771
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10/25/2013 12:20 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
bump for updates
~OneSpirit~
calidruid

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10/25/2013 12:22 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
today is a headache day!!!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: pfle


Indeed!! It isn't just the coffee! Taking the kids to school this morning, I got the ear ringing for about 15 sec. and then the headache that lasted around 15 min! I have been taking note and realizing a correlation these last 6 months or so.
"Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude

“This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter
calidruid

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10/25/2013 12:24 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Pic of X2.1 Flare-
10/25-X2flare

SDO-AIA 131 image of X1 Flare-
:10/25-1882M2:

AR1882 Magnetogram-
:10/25-1882mag:

A Big, fast CME has developed (NOT Earth-directed):

SOHO- [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

STEREO B- [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Wow! 1882 has a LOT of complexity!! We are going to be in for a bumpy ride going into this last week of October!
"Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude

“This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter
Hugh M Eye

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10/25/2013 12:26 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
GLP+U= GULP!
:10/25-x2cme:
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 12:28 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Me too! Ringing in ears, weird temple headaches, uneasy. They directly link to sun activity and I'm trying to do a web crash course on solar flares, CMEs, earths electromagnetic field. Intense stuff. Keep us updated!!!
SeriouslyFolks

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10/25/2013 12:32 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!

Last Edited by SeriouslyFolks on 10/25/2013 12:34 PM
...same as it ever was
pepe3797

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Peru
10/25/2013 12:35 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
GLP+U= GULP!
:10/25-x2cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


gasp
Anonymous Astrophysicist
User ID: 48912130
United States
10/25/2013 12:39 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering?
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 12:39 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Calm your ass down Sun, you ain't got what it takes to break off a big one. Trying to act all scary....pfft. Just stop, you're embarrassing the other Suns. As if a silly limp willed Sun like you could produce a double digit X flare lol.
Anonymous Astrophysicist
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10/25/2013 12:40 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
GLP+U= GULP!
:10/25-x2cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


gasp
 Quoting: pepe3797


Nothing really spectacular, I've seen much worst
Anonymous Astrophysicist
User ID: 48912130
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10/25/2013 12:51 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering?
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


To expand on this a bit, if we have several Earth directed CME's in a <48 our period, you can bet particles from all events will be reaching Earth at the same time, because not all particles are going the same velocity.

Fortunately, elevated electron counts tend to accompany the initial flares, which strengthen the integrity of the magneto shield. It's a;; part of a very intelligent design that is fully reactive. It can however be overburdened or like captain kirk, caught off guard with the shields down.

The most geoffective events occur when repeated proton events have battered the geomagnetic field with a drop in electron flux that typically accompanies such patterns, or a massive event occurs without any build up.

To simplify it, electrons power up the 'shields' and protons weaken them.

The orientation of the interplanetary heliosphere or solar magnetic field to the earths magnetic field is critical to predicting outcome of any particular event.
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
10/25/2013 12:54 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
don't worry about it nothing ever happens anyway
Anonymous Astrophysicist
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10/25/2013 12:58 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
[link to www.n3kl.org]


Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events.

Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 12:58 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Thats what im worried about.
Anonymous Astrophysicist
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10/25/2013 01:02 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
don't worry about it nothing ever happens anyway
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12251163


It will eventually, when the right combination of events occur simultaneously. During the last solar cycle people did die from solar events in the 10's of thousands in Europe and India.

A failure in the power grid is inevitable. It's not if, it's when, and when it happens it could be ac cross entire continents or even global. The implications are total chaos, a total breakdown in all modern infrastructure.
SeriouslyFolks

User ID: 14142539
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10/25/2013 01:03 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering?
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


Yes! Is that possible if the solar activity continues as it has in the last few days and what would/could be the effect to Earth?
...same as it ever was
Anonymous Astrophysicist
User ID: 48912130
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10/25/2013 01:10 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Question to Solar watchers...
Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back???

Oh, and 5* !!!
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering?
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


Yes! Is that possible if the solar activity continues as it has in the last few days and what would/could be the effect to Earth?
 Quoting: SeriouslyFolks


Like I said, if the data I am getting is correct we have nothing to worry about at this time. I see no evidence of direct coupling of the Earths magnetic field with the Suns, and the electron flux is stable as well as the geomagnetic field. We're probably good to go. Conditions are not conducive to efficient conductivity of charged particles from the Sun to Earth at this time. W will probably eventually see a geomagetic effect along with moderate to high proton flux at moderate energy levels and an s-2 to s-3 radiation event.
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 01:13 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
GLP+U= GULP!
:10/25-x2cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


gasp
 Quoting: pepe3797


Nothing really spectacular, I've seen much worst
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


I wonder what the worstest can do, knock out a few transformers but anything more is theoretical right?

uhoh
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 01:19 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
GLP+U= GULP!
:10/25-x2cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


gasp
 Quoting: pepe3797


Nothing really spectacular, I've seen much worst
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


I wonder what the worstest can do, knock out a few transformers but anything more is theoretical right?

uhoh
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46678410


If you listen to that idiot you can go through a LOT worse.
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 01:20 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
During the last solar max, folks in the know were advising that we should look out for a barrage of CMEs from flares as the early ones have an effect on the magnetic field resulting the later ones having more impact than their initial size would predict.

Interesting chance to see if this was correct.
Anonymous Astrophysicist
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United States
10/25/2013 01:25 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
During the last solar max, folks in the know were advising that we should look out for a barrage of CMEs from flares as the early ones have an effect on the magnetic field resulting the later ones having more impact than their initial size would predict.

Interesting chance to see if this was correct.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48806230


Yes, this is true. Protons weaken the geo geomagnetic field. But we see no evidence of an efficient transfer of protons from the Sun to earth along magnetic field lines. As long as the election flux remains stable it shouldn't be a problem
calidruid

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10/25/2013 01:29 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
Curious to know if the Sun's poles have already flipped, or is this the build up to that happening?
"Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude

“This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 01:33 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
[link to www.n3kl.org]


Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events.

Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ???

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. hf
Anonymous Coward
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10/25/2013 01:35 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
[link to www.n3kl.org]


Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events.

Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ???

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48539647


You are obviously new to AA/IDW

chuckle

All he ever does is make up "facts"
TS66
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10/25/2013 01:36 PM
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Re: X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013
[link to www.n3kl.org]


Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events.

Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130


So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ???

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48539647


You are obviously new to AA/IDW

chuckle

All he ever does is make up "facts"
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40530597


LOL, actually no, just being nice about it wink





GLP