Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!

WTF? you damn fine girl....

Hey, enjoy it while you can. Next year it may be 23 degrees in October!

I hope you wake up tomorrow and all your toilet paper is dripping wet.

I am reporting a copyright violation cuz there aint no way you can look as good as gold.

WHAT TIME IS THE CME GONNA HIT? IN EASTERN OR PACIFIC TIME?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????​?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????​?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????​?

dont know the time but nothing will happen.

can we just focus on that one chic posting here. thanks

pin request please! :)

Simple27 should be read dimples24/7

The arrival may be premature, but I'm not, haha. NOAA Issued a K=5 Threshold Reached Alert @ 2:00 UTC (a little over an hour ago):

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 729
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 02 0203 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2013 Oct 02 0200 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA Goddard's CME prediction forecasts a "disturbance Duration' of 27 hours!

Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 27 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re

Green Karma and Pin Request. Please keep us posted OP.

Here's a pic of the huge eruption which launched the CME-

:9/29-hyder:

my bad your right, do cmes normally taper up on the kp index or do they start strong n fade down, kp of 5 is pretty nice already, i dunno weather to turn my sensitive electronics off for a few hours.

[link to mms.rice.edu]

Heres the BI, it shows it hitting above 250, that's a large spike , usually anything over 160 for a duration is K6 or higher, but this was an early hit and short in duration, still easily pushed us above K5 for a time.


The Boyle Index (BI),

[Boyle et. al., J. Geophys. Res., 102, 111, 1997]

where v is the solar wind velocity in km/sec and B is the magnitude of the IMF, is a good predictor of the Polar Cap Potential drop for times when the solar wind is steady and the index is 160 kV or less. For the rare events where the Boyle index exceeds 160 kV, the polar cap potential generally saturates, only exceeding 200 kV in rare occasions, thus in those cases the Boyle Index is an overestimate of the Polar Cap Potential. A Boyle index of 200 averaged over three hours will often yield a Kp index of 6 or higher; for 250 or more, the Kp index is often 7 or higher.

This spiked above 260

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 10/01/2013 11:33 PM

here we go..


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Mag below 50 we got a party going on.

Well here in Liverpool, England, we've just gotten high wind, and heavy rain, and the wind is pretty intense not if that's got anything to do with it?.

[link to www.n3kl.org]


K5

no

I agree, this is a decent hit
people in the north should go outside and look for auroras tonight.

this really should be pinned

so is doom on? what can we expect?

Thanks! 5 stars!

Thank you, NOLAangel! This may fluctuate in the magnetic field for the next 24 hours and sometimes the worst of the effects are bringing up the rear as the CME plasma passes by Earth. I'll try to keep an eye on the situation give updates. Also, always check at NINzrez' thread SOLAR WATCH as we have a team of volunteers updating solar and space events on a daily basis

. Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) (Page 2099)

[link to www.solarham.net]

way to be on the ball with this one Hugh!
5*