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Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also

 
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>
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04/13/2012 06:20 AM
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Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
It`s that time of year when the right conditions come together across the mid west for super cells...They are predicting very strong storms tonight and saturday night..especially here in SC Kansas with Tor Con levels at 7 for Saturday...The cells could hold together till late at night which even makes this more dangerous..Be smart--have a plan...

[link to www.weather.com]

The TOR:CON values range from 0 to 10. A value of 4 means that there is about a 40% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location in the specified area of severe thunderstorm activity. This also means that there is a 60% chance that a tornado will NOT occur


Saturday April 14
IA northwest - 4
IA southwest - 4 to 5
IA rest - 3 to 4
IL northwest - 3
KS south-central - 7
KS rest of central, east - 5 to 6
MN southwest - 4
MN southeast - 3
MO north - 4
NE southeast - 5
NE northeast - 4 to 5
OK northwest, north-central - 7
OK southwest - 5
SD southeast - 4
TX east panhandle - 5
WI southwest -3
Other areas - less than 2

Saturday Night April 14
IA west - 5
KS south-central, east - 6
OK north, central, west - 6
MN southwest - 5
MO northwest - 4
NE east - 5
TX north-central - 5

Check the map...

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

THESE FACTORS
COMBINED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F AND VERY
FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD PRODUCE AND ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR A TORNADO OUTBREAK. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH WFOS
WICHITA...NORMAN...TOPEKA...TULSA AND DODGE CITY...A HIGH RISK WILL
BE ISSUED DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT
ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.


NOAA has upgraded their map to include Nebraska and wetsern Iowa

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]




......................................................

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 02:09 PM
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
bump

Bump for awareness...things to think about---family, the elderly, pets, water, flashlights, radio,first aid kit, personal valuables....important papers like your old tax returns, investments...everybody should go through and video your house and the contents to help insurance adjusters give you what you deserve...fortunately I have a storm shelter built into my house where I store most of these items...if you do not have a shelter try to store things under the crawl space during bad weather only, but have them located all in one area so it`s easy to move them to a safer location quickly...

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 07:47 AM
W2BF

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
bump
Be safe people!!!!
W2BF

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04/13/2012 07:58 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
This should be pinned!!!!!
bump bump bump
siren2
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Tor-Con levels, are you serious?


 Quoting: User ID: 4696606


It is simply a way of predicting the odds of a tornado in your area..you can laugh all you want till ya have a F5 breathing down your neck...I`ve never heard any rude comments from meteorologists about the WC`s system...The deal is the ingredients are there and all meteorologists ARE AGREEING on this. Check any of your weather sources and you`ll see they are all predicting very strong storms..strong southerly winds all night last night and today helps add to the system. I`ve lived here all my life and have seen several tornadoes..chased many of them..I`ve helped clean up after them also and have seen the devastation they leave behind...if you don`t have something positive to add the STFU

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 10:02 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

..THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF OK AND KS...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NW TX...CNTRL
AND WRN OK...CNTRL AND ERN KS...SE NEB...NW MO AND FAR SW IA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MO
VALLEY...UPPER MS VALLEY...SRN PLAINS AND CNTRL PLAINS...

TORNADO OUTBREAK LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS NWD INTO THE
MID-MO VALLEY FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT





A HIGH RISK WILL
BE ISSUED DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT
ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.


Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 10:42 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
bump
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Tulsa here thank you for the info! Will put it to good use. hf
wait....what?

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04/13/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Tulsa here thank you for the info! Will put it to good use. hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6421666



Tulsa here

I wish we had a tornado shelter or safe room!
We have a rain water runoff field with a huge concrete drainage (pipe)? I don't know what it is called that runs in a field in the middle of our sub-division. But I figure if there is one of these big tornadoes(F4 F5) we would go get in that since it is underground. You can almost stand up in it, it is that big.

We usually get in the guest bathroom ,in the tub, which is right in the middle of our house. But these huge super tornadoes don't even leave the concrete under the house sometimes! They're scary!

Thank you for the info! Stay safe Kansas hf
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04/13/2012 11:25 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Stay safe neighbor!!!!!!! We're prepped and ready...... :)
"You'd better get yourself a garlic T-shirt, buddy, or it's your funeral." Edgar Frog - The Lost Boys
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Yep---it seems Tulsa always gets hammered..We will be heading down that way for Rocklahoma next month..always a good time..

Stay safe ya all... I know a lot of time the weatherman gets a little over dramatic but they all seem to be in agreement with this system...expect the worst and hope for the best..There isn`t much we can do about it except be prepared and aware..Keep your attention to this system later at night too. I`m reading a lot about it stating that the super cells will have the fuel to go all night. Them night time twisters are killers...
wait....what?

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04/13/2012 11:43 AM

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Thanks hf
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
tulsa has never been hit with a major tornado....or even a moderate one...now east of tulsa is a different story. Knock on wood.
but the air feels ripe right now...I think OKC is a more likely target tomorrow
alexisj9

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04/13/2012 11:48 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
bump Stay safe.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Stay safe out in the Midwest. This looks nasty; look at all that red

[link to www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov]
Hagmann

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04/13/2012 11:57 AM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
5* and suggest pin

Looks to be a very active day, stay safe.

Also watch Manhattan Kansas for sever weather because soon- Homeland Security to Build Bio Safety Level 4 Virus Research Facility Centrally Located In Kansas

Reports indicate the new facility in Manhattan, Kansas is intended to replace the Plum Island bio-warfare testing facility, and like its predecessor, a DHS risk assessment says it will be used to research advanced biological pathogens and emerging threats that are not only hazardous, but highly contagious to human and animal populations.

[link to theintelhub.com]

Will this be another record setting tornado day?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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04/13/2012 12:07 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
5* and suggest pin

Looks to be a very active day, stay safe.

Also watch Manhattan Kansas for sever weather because soon- Homeland Security to Build Bio Safety Level 4 Virus Research Facility Centrally Located In Kansas

Reports indicate the new facility in Manhattan, Kansas is intended to replace the Plum Island bio-warfare testing facility, and like its predecessor, a DHS risk assessment says it will be used to research advanced biological pathogens and emerging threats that are not only hazardous, but highly contagious to human and animal populations.

[link to theintelhub.com]

Will this be another record setting tornado day?
 Quoting: Hagmann


Thanks for the info...damn I don`t like the sound of that..They better be smart enough to keep the mean stuff underground..
Anonymous Coward
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04/13/2012 12:11 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
This is actually very normal for this time of the year. Im not saying this isnt a big deal because peoples lives are at risk but its tornado alley. People who live in tornado alley expect this type of weather.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
This is actually very normal for this time of the year. Im not saying this isnt a big deal because peoples lives are at risk but its tornado alley. People who live in tornado alley expect this type of weather.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11270410


Yup we sure do...I just really wonder how many people are actually prepared though...Most people don`t think it can happen to them. I know I have had two close calls in my life time and one was a F5...and yet I think it is pretty easy to get out of a tornadoes path(except at night) I don`t think many people are really prepared as well as they could be..especially with things that can`t be replaced like family photos, important paperwork, jewelry etc...Most people are only concerned about living through a tornado which is of course the most important thing no doubt but what about Grandma and Grandpa...and other family members...Kids at school or other activities...Just things to think about...

My Dad tells me stories once in a great while of the Udall tornado back years ago....If my memory serves me correctly it was a F4...destroyed the whole town...Dad said they had three trucks for bodies---one for pieces, one for identifiable bodies and one for whole bodies...stories of a 12 or 13 year old boy wrapped around a small tree from his rib cage down...what was wrapped around the tree was less than 6 inches in diameter and was like jelly...Another story of him dragging legs over to the truck...scarred him pretty bad...This is the time of year we get the big F4`s and F5`s due to the warmer temps and colder northern air clashing..it`s always good to raise people`s awareness.
UtahApoc

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Did you know that this is only the second time a high risk has been issued for the D2 forecast, and the first time ever it has been issued for the initial D2 outlook? The previous D2 high risk issuance was for the April 7, 2006 outbreak.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Joe Biden is suppose to be visiting Tulsa today..we know what happened when he went to Greenland NH,all cain broke out with "drug shootings"
Wouldn't surprise me if a twister tore up Tulsa.
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04/13/2012 12:54 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
nice one looknhugs here's some more


Tornado Outbreak In Oklahoma Saturday? SPC issues rare “High Risk” two days out

13 April 2012

High risk outlooks from the Storm prediction Center are rare, but the issuance of one two days out is extremely rare and this evening SPC did just that. The advancements in forecasting over the last 15 years have been amazing and high risk outlooks are bad news for those covered by them. They mean a major outbreak of deadly tornadoes is very possible.

Those of you from Oklahoma City to Wichita, and into Central Kansas, should be VERY weather alert Saturday. So should those in the moderate risk area.

One way of measuring the instability and wind shear is called the STP or Signficant Tornado Parameter. This image is from a numerical weather model showing a very high STP value for Saturday afternoon over Oklahoma and Kansas. Image from Earl Barker's Model Page.

There are two main ingredients for major tornado outbreaks....


ReadMore:

[link to blogs.agu.org]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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04/13/2012 12:55 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
nice one looknhugs here's some more


Tornado Outbreak In Oklahoma Saturday? SPC issues rare “High Risk” two days out

13 April 2012

High risk outlooks from the Storm prediction Center are rare, but the issuance of one two days out is extremely rare and this evening SPC did just that. The advancements in forecasting over the last 15 years have been amazing and high risk outlooks are bad news for those covered by them. They mean a major outbreak of deadly tornadoes is very possible.

Those of you from Oklahoma City to Wichita, and into Central Kansas, should be VERY weather alert Saturday. So should those in the moderate risk area.

One way of measuring the instability and wind shear is called the STP or Signficant Tornado Parameter. This image is from a numerical weather model showing a very high STP value for Saturday afternoon over Oklahoma and Kansas. Image from Earl Barker's Model Page.

There are two main ingredients for major tornado outbreaks....


ReadMore:

[link to blogs.agu.org]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Thanks Brutha....I live within 15 miles of Wichita and so does most of my family...we are all weather junkies this time of year but on the more serious side we have a great respect for it too...I saw a little ol F2 rope tornado roll a 65" mustang up into a round ball one time..same guy that owned the mustang lost his whole house..ripped clear off the foundation..sub floor too. They were under the stairs and watched the pool table get picked up on it`s side and slide over against the wall..missed my dad`s house by a quarter mile..serious stuff...The warnings about night time tornadoes is what I don`t like...people get out chasing these things by the 100`s, almost out of control actually..very dangerous stuff

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 01:00 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Did you know that this is only the second time a high risk has been issued for the D2 forecast, and the first time ever it has been issued for the initial D2 outlook? The previous D2 high risk issuance was for the April 7, 2006 outbreak.
 Quoting: UtahApoc


That is pretty crazy...Thanks for posting
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
This is a very cool link...check out the worst tornado events in history, tornado safety and so on..

[link to www.tornadoproject.com]
Anonymous Coward
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04/13/2012 01:51 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
holy doesnt know that you live so close to it buddy


stay safe my friend! but some cool images would be great :D

sry was a joke :)
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
holy doesnt know that you live so close to it buddy


stay safe my friend! but some cool images would be great :D

sry was a joke :)
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I`ll have the camera ready..I`ll chase them during the day but at night I`ll be at home..When we built our house I built a nice shelter under the front porch..14 inches of concrete and rebar with 10 inch thick walls...Got room for the cat and 5 chihuahuas too...:) Hopefully everything will stay out in open fields and away from towns...
AnalyticalMind

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
I am about an hour and half north of Wichita, I will try to get some pictures of the weather as it happens if I can from a safe spot. :)
"You'd better get yourself a garlic T-shirt, buddy, or it's your funeral." Edgar Frog - The Lost Boys
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
NOAA upgraded their maps...Parts of Nebraska and Iowa are now included..

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>  (OP)

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04/13/2012 02:18 PM
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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
A few small cells are starting to show on radar up by Salina KS...This could be the start of the afternoon build...will have to wait and see what they do...also a cell coming up from southwest of Oklahoma city

I`m outta here(work)...will be updating from my phone if there is any action...tomorrow will be the big day

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 04/13/2012 02:29 PM
Blue Skies

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Re: Tornado Outbreak ... NOAA --->"DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT"updated Nebraska and Iowa in high risk also
Makes me thankful we get very few tornado's here, and that when we do, they are only F1 or F2's, and that if we did get one, I have a basement.....
Be safe people and always be prepared for the worst. grouphug

Last Edited by Blue Skies on 04/13/2012 02:46 PM
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