SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Knew it was going to be more than a sideswipe from that filament eruption.

[link to youtu.be (secure)]


Ben Davidson from Suspicious Observers is calling
it for KP 6 to KP 8 level solar Storms. I was also
surprised to hear him say there were no "M" or "X-class"
flares in his report when the official report is a bit
different. Oh well...not a big deal since personally
anything over a KP 5 will pretty much affect "solar
sensitives"...so HAVE THE ASPIRIN HANDY! lol!


The Oracle's Cookie

Yup. It is frustrating trying to get any information
about anything these days.

I'm surprised they aren't issuing little boxes
for us to view the sun! lol!

DON'T DO THIS AT HOME...THIS IS SUPPOSED TO BE "CUTE."


1940's solution for watching eclipses.


The Oracle's Cookie

M5.0.................AR3078.

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

Quicklook movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 154
Issue Time: 2022 Aug 16 0816 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2022 Aug 16 0752 UTC
Maximum Time: 2022 Aug 16 0758 UTC
End Time: 2022 Aug 16 0805 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.0
Optical Class: na
Location: S24W08
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 277
Issue Time: 2022 Aug 16 0801 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2022 Aug 16 0758 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

NOAA/SWPC Alerts and Warnings:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

STEREO cor 2 image shows a CME cloud launched long before the M5 event. This was probably from the C5 eruption.

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]

SoHO C2 movie shows activity from 8/12 to 1600z yesterday. The 2nd filament eruption was huge.

[link to soho.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]

STEREO & SoHo coronagraphs haven’t updated since the M5 flare at 800z. 7 hours! I’m convinced they’re up to something.

Be prepared for a cyber attack on a power grid.

THURSDAY!

POTENTIAL 'CANNIBAL CME' EVENT: On Aug. 14th, a dark plasma eruption hurled one CME toward Earth. On Aug. 15th, an exploding magnetic filament launched another right behind it. The two CMEs will arrive together on Aug.18th, according to the latest forecast model from NOAA:

https://imgur.com/ECHNzxy

This could be a "Cannibal CME" event. In other words, the second CME might overtake and gobble up the first, creating a mish-mash of the two. Cannibal CMEs contain tangled magnetic fields and compressed plasmas that sometimes spark strong geomagnetic storms.

In this case, NOAA forecasters expect G1 (minor) to G2-class (moderate) geomagnetic storms. During such storms naked-eye auroras can descend into the USA as far south as New York and Idaho (geomagnetic latitude 55 degrees). Cameras with sensitive night-sky settings may record auroras even farther south than that.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS HIGH: Active sunspot AR3078 has been flaring almost constantly since it developed a delta-class magnetic field early yesterday.

https://imgur.com/N2PXpan

The strongest flare so far, an M5-category explosion on August 16th (0758UT), produced a shortwave radio blackout over the Indian Ocean.

https://imgur.com/9JNTbAW

https://imgur.com/5MvFWst

A series of coronal mass ejections (CME) associated with these flares could start grazing Earth's magnetic field during the late hours of Aug. 18th adding their effect to the possible "Cannibal CME event".

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

And here's the third one in addition to the above 2

https://imgur.com/NzfHYru

Spaceweather alert I just received

*Geomagnetic Storm Warning* NOAA forecasters say that geomagnetic storms are probable on August 18th in response to multiple CME impacts. Storm levels could reach category G3 (strong). Details @ Spaceweather.com

Another M flare

M1.8

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

UPDATED STORM FORECAST: NOAA forecasters have upgraded their geomagnetic storm watch from category G2 (moderate) to category G3 (strong) in response to models suggesting multiple CME impacts on Aug. 18th. During such storms naked-eye auroras can descend into the USA as far south as Illinois and Oregon (geomagnetic latitude 50 degrees).

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

We may have 6 or more Earth-directed (more or less) CMEs on the way.... there's gonna be a traffic jam, lol.

SolarDemon movie of the M1.8 flare from 3078:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

Dimming movie of the M5 seems to indicate a CME:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

The M5 was not a LDE and no proton storm ensued, however a small focussed blast could push the other denser CMEs towards a greater impact at Earth's magnetopause. Also, keep in mind that these plasma clouds expand when they leave the sun.

I just got home from the factory and haven't checked the coronagraphs yet. I'll report back what I can find out, IF I can find out.

This is still the world's premier conspiracy site.... yes?

Something fishy is going on between NASA, ESA, NOAA and the Pentagon in my humble opinion. The main purpose of the SoHO and STEREO coronagraphs is to monitor coronal ejections and to act as an EARLY WARNING SYSTEM in advance of spaceweather events which may endanger satellites, astronauts, communications or the power grids. Why in heaven's name would they tamp down on scientific data when it's needed most?!

SoHO still has a huge data gap beginning at the time of the M5 flare (7 hours missing!). STEREO, which had only 3 frames of cor 2 images yesterday, has only 6 frames today-- also stopping at the time of the M5 flare. How can this be??? Are they funneling this info to the Pentagon/Space Force in secret for some nefarious plot?? My spidey sense tells me so.

A major geomagnetic storm would be the perfect cover for a plan to attack foreign satellites with DEW weapons or to cyber attack a power grid and blame it on the sun. THE ULTIMATE FALSE FLAG.....SOL INTERRUPTUS.

The question is 'Who's the target?'. Is it RUSSIA, or maybe China, or maybe the U.S., or is it the whole planet? After 9/11 and the Scamdemic paranoia you can just let your imagination go wild. This may be just a drill in rehearsal for a really huge X-flare CME to come. Who knows, but I'm getting very suspicious that something's going on.

Nope too

With so many flares and eruptions it's getting really hard to connect the ejections with the flares. I've been at work all day with little sleep, but I'll try. The invisible 'elephant-in-the-room' is the missing M5 data.

August 16- C5.9 LDE produced a CME seen here from SEEDS:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

DATA GAP....M5 Flare and probable small but forceful CME.

C6 & C5 combo also produced a CME:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Another CME @1800z here:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

None of these are monster shots but the cumulative effects could be monumental.

SoHO C3 shows a gigantic smoke cloud leaving the sun's south hemisphere:

[link to soho.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]

Remember that SoHO has a blind spot and we can't see what's coming straight ahead behind the occulting disc (this is why NOAA misses 'stealth CMEs'). STEREO A + B was supposed to compensate for that flaw by giving us 3D views of CMEs. But that was then, this is NOW.

to follow. It's going to be an interesting next couple of days.

Whenever there's sun activity I always come to this thread. Been coming since day 1. Thanks for all your updates and posts.

This song popped into my head today at work...hope you like it.



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Great to see both of you here today. Thanks for posting!

I'd also like to give a shoutout to all the lurkers out there (both of you, haha). I formally began my investigations into solar activity as a lurker on this very thread back in 2010-2011. I only went public when OP got hospitalized with an accident. You can never stop learning new things about the sun, and see things never before seen in human history. Even Galileo could never even dream about what we could see with IRIS:

[link to iris.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

IRIS Today:

[link to iris.lmsal.com (secure)]

Oh ya!!! Let's go!!!

NASA has more than 40 spacecraft studying the sun, the magnetosphere and the greater heliosphere--and still NOAA has problems just counting sunspots, LOL.

NASA Heliophysics Missions poster:

[link to science.nasa.gov (secure)]