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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Helios Maximus

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10/17/2021 10:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA/SWPC WRONG AGAIN.

Just so you know.......

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 291 Issued at 0030Z on 18 Oct 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Oct
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z Oct
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 18 Oct to 20 Oct
Nmbr Lat Lo
None

cue the dancing chimps.....
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Mission__visible

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10/18/2021 06:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
Simple27

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10/18/2021 10:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No sooner than AR2882 quietly departed the Earth-facing disk, we have a new large alpha spot coming over in the SE limb.

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

I believe this will be 2886, saving our streak of non-spotless days.

View this with hopeful optimism for an eventful week.
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


bump
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Helios Maximus

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10/21/2021 08:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A new active region will be coming over the SE limb today. Solar soft has already recorded 10 B-flares (including a B7) from beyond the limb.

Latest Events:

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

SDO Imagery:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

banana2banana2banana2
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
The Oracle's Cookie

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10/21/2021 04:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A new active region will be coming over the SE limb today. Solar soft has already recorded 10 B-flares (including a B7) from beyond the limb.

Latest Events:

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

SDO Imagery:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

banana2banana2banana2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Thanks so much for that "SoftSolar" link. Very
interesting, Helios Maximus!!

Sending you some green.

cheers
The Oracle's Cookie
Helios Maximus

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10/21/2021 10:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA is a total joke!

I'm sure an organization dedicated to falsifying temperature records of the past 100+ years, is much too busy to count a few sunspots accurately.

A Beta region in the northeast has been evident for at least 2 days now. They're tiny spots so I guess they don't count.......

New region in the SE was visible long before the NOAA summary was issued. It now appears to consist of at least two spots and hints at a complex magnetic configuration.

The NOAA Sunspot Number of 11 should be closer to 37.....it's a mockery of data science and a waste of taxpayer money. Hell, I'll do a better job for minimum wage, LOL.

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 295 Issued at 0030Z on 22 Oct 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 21 Oct
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2886 S19E22 336 0100 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z Oct
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 22 Oct to 24 Oct
Nmbr Lat Lo
None

Latest HMI Imagery:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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10/21/2021 11:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I hope we have an X-flare tonight to expose these charlatans.

9/2017-Xrays

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 10/21/2021 11:02 PM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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10/22/2021 10:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ACTIVITY ON THE SUN'S EASTERN LIMB: A new sunspot group is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb. It is crackling with activity. An intensifying series of minor B-class solar flares is probably stronger than it looks because each explosion has been partially eclipsed by the edge of the sun.

https://imgur.com/NtGTbZZ


[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/22/2021 10:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Update
October 22, 2021 @ 11:55 UTC


Good morning. Solar activity remained at very low levels during the past 24 hours with only small B-Flares detected. Much of this activity is due to a new active region, now turning into view from off the southeast limb. An isolated C-Flare will be possible during the next 12-24 hours.

An active region currently located on the farside of the Sun beyond then northeast limb looks to be responsible for a coronal mass ejection (CME) visible in the latest coronagraph imagery. Because this was farsided, it will not be directed towards Earth. STEREO Ahead imagery shows a number of potential sunspots that could come into play next week.

https://imgur.com/i96VvpA


[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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10/22/2021 09:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New AR 2887 appears to me to be two ARs slightly merged or at least interacting. Either way the magnetic fields are more complex than your run-of-the-mil sunspot group. Strangely it stopped flaring when it turned Earth-side, hmmmm.

NOAA- Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2886 (S19E10, Hsx/alpha)
remained unchanged and unremarkable. New Region 2887 (S24E65, Dao/beta)
was numbered this period. The region has been responsible for numerous
B-class flares over the past 24-36 hours. The largest event of the
period was a B9 x-ray event observed at 22/1838 UTC from beyond the SE
limb. STEREO-A EUVI 195 imagery indicates at least 3 possible regions
that will rotate into view within the next 36-48 hours
. No Earth
directed CMEs were observed in satellite imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels on 23-25 Oct, with a
chance for C-class activity, due to the flare potential from new Region
2887.

STEREO indeed seems to show another closely-paired ARs coming over soon:

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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10/22/2021 10:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 296 Issued at 0030Z on 23 Oct 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 Oct
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2886 S19E10 335 0100 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
2887 S24E65 280 0150 Dao 05 07 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z Oct
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 23 Oct to 25 Oct
Nmbr Lat Lo
None

AR2887 Images:

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]

Our tiny spot in the north remains unnumbered for a 4th day. It appears to be fading away now.

SOLEN.info seems to agree with me that 2887 is 2 separate regions. He also notes the northern spot. Scroll down to see his region analysis:

[link to www.solen.info]

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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10/23/2021 11:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FARSIDE SUNSPOTS: The sunspot number is about to increase. NASA's STEREO-A spacecraft is monitoring three active regions on the farside of the sun. All three are poised to rotate over the sun's eastern limb in the next 2 to 3 days. A fourth, AR2887, described below, is already here.

https://imgur.com/Br4jhvI


[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/23/2021 11:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NEW SUNSPOT TURNS TOWARD EARTH: New sunspot AR2887 is turning toward Earth and growing rapidly. Click to view a 24 hour movie of the sunspot rotating over the sun's southeastern limb:

https://imgur.com/CBL4JKE


Since yesterday it has nearly doubled in size with a significant increase in apparent complexity.If its development proceeds apace, it could soon become a source of Earth-directed solar flares.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
NOLAangel

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10/24/2021 09:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is strange!

THE STRANGE MAGNETISM OF SUNSPOT AR2887: Something does not add up. New sunspot AR2887 has two primary cores, each about the size of Earth. Usually when a sunspot looks like this, the two cores have opposite magnetic polarities, positive (+) and negative (-). In this case, however, they're the same.
https://imgur.com/i56tbnk


more in the article: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
Digital mix guy

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10/24/2021 10:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy

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10/24/2021 10:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is strange!

THE STRANGE MAGNETISM OF SUNSPOT AR2887: Something does not add up. New sunspot AR2887 has two primary cores, each about the size of Earth. Usually when a sunspot looks like this, the two cores have opposite magnetic polarities, positive (+) and negative (-). In this case, however, they're the same.
https://imgur.com/i56tbnk


more in the article: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: NOLAangel


excellent find!! however, make sure to use the permalink for that date, whenever linking to that website. otherwise that story will no longer be retrievable, within a day or two. thanks!!

permalink:

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

trek bridge

Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 10/24/2021 10:04 PM
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
The Oracle's Cookie

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10/25/2021 04:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is strange!

THE STRANGE MAGNETISM OF SUNSPOT AR2887: Something does not add up. New sunspot AR2887 has two primary cores, each about the size of Earth. Usually when a sunspot looks like this, the two cores have opposite magnetic polarities, positive (+) and negative (-). In this case, however, they're the same.
https://imgur.com/i56tbnk


more in the article: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: NOLAangel


excellent find!! however, make sure to use the permalink for that date, whenever linking to that website. otherwise that story will no longer be retrievable, within a day or two. thanks!!

permalink:

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

trek bridge
 Quoting: Digital mix guy


There is something fishy going on!!

FishyINdenmark

I'll be waiting to hear about the specifics of this
one...I'm sure it's NOT GOING TO BE GOOD.

cheers
The Oracle's Cookie
Simple27

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10/25/2021 10:40 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
QUIET WITH A CHANCE OF FLARES: Solar activity is low. However, the continued development of strangely magnetized sunspot AR2887 suggests that solar flares might be in the offing. NOAA forecasters say there is a 10% chance of M-flares during the next 24 hours.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
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mistersplinter

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10/25/2021 04:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Super impulsive flare.. almost M

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Helios Maximus

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10/25/2021 04:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C 8.5 from beyond the NE limb.

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

Gong:

[link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)]

5a
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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10/25/2021 04:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
sun
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Helios Maximus

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10/25/2021 04:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C 8.5 from beyond the NE limb.

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

Gong:

[link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)]

5a
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Possible CME from this one (not Earth-directed).

SolarDemon movie:

[link to wwwbis.sidc.be (secure)]

Side note-GLP Threads Today says 666. Spooky.......
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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10/25/2021 04:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/INBXtpY


[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
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Simple27

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10/25/2021 04:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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10/25/2021 04:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is strange!

THE STRANGE MAGNETISM OF SUNSPOT AR2887: Something does not add up. New sunspot AR2887 has two primary cores, each about the size of Earth. Usually when a sunspot looks like this, the two cores have opposite magnetic polarities, positive (+) and negative (-). In this case, however, they're the same.
https://imgur.com/i56tbnk


more in the article: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: NOLAangel


Hi, Angel hf, what Dr. Tony Phillips failed to mention is that the lower region exhibits signs of a reversed polarity from the norm for southern hemisphere sunspot group. I would've thought this would make for potent volatility, but this hasn't happened yet. It seems to be in a magnetic equilibrium or stalemate.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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10/25/2021 04:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Howdy, Simple smile_hear It most likely was an M-flare if not occulted from view by the limb. Oddly this region doesn't appear as bright on the STEREO EUV images as the new southern. regions appear. Sometimes big surprises come in small packages, haha.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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10/25/2021 06:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Hugh!

s27_kiss5
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/25/2021 06:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C4.4

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
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Simple27

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10/25/2021 09:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Flare in progress. Currently C9.2.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

ETA: Peaked at C9.3

Last Edited by Simple27 on 10/25/2021 09:17 PM
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/25/2021 09:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Limb On Fire
October 25, 2021 @ 23:30 UTC


A potential active region located just behind the northeast limb has been putting on a show with a series of explosions during the past several hours. The GOES-16 X-Ray data has come alive with a number of C-Class flares, including a C8.5 and C4.4. The source location will begin to turn into view on Tuesday. Stay Tuned!

https://imgur.com/5ZEOP2H


[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]

And now the new C9.3

popcorn

Last Edited by Simple27 on 10/25/2021 09:17 PM
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GLP