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| 10:45 AM | ||
| Users Online Now: 1,825 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 622,506 | |
| Pageviews Today: 985,239 | Threads Today: 386 | Posts Today: 5,552 |
| 10:45 AM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Helios Maximus
 User ID: 75246624  United States09/23/2021 02:57 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Possible Earth-directed CME from M-flare. I don't anticipate a major CME impact but even a small one could rattle the magnetosphere due to the equinox effect. Quoting: Helios Maximus Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 552 Issue Time: 2021 Sep 23 0521 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2021 Sep 23 0454 UTC NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1100 Issue Time: 2021 Sep 23 0510 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2021 Sep 23 0444 UTC Estimated Velocity: 966 km/s NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.    Great catch! Can you explain to me, please, your statement above as to this M-class flare being effected by the "EQUINOX EFFECT?" I've never heard of that before. (This one from above:) Possible Earth-directed CME from M-flare. I don't anticipate a major CME impact but even a small one could rattle the magnetosphere due to the equinox effect. This is especially important given that there are some scientists who believe that volcanism is EFFECTED BY SOLAR ENERGIES--and with La Palma going off...that could be an important factor in an up-tick in the next few days. Hope you see this and can reply I'm very interested! Thanks!  The Oracle's Cookie Stronger geomagnetic storms and auroras are known to occur within a month or so nearest the spring and autumnal equinoxes. The exact mechanism for this remains largely a mystery, but it is widely accepted as fact. Dr. Tony Phillips (of Spaceweather.com) writing in 2008 for NASA PR-- It turns out that rope-like magnetic connections between Sun and Earth are favored in springtime. It's a matter of geometry: As Earth goes around in its orbit, Earth's tilted magnetic poles make different angles with respect to the Sun, tipping back and forth with a one-year cadence. Around the time of the equinox, Earth's magnetic field is best oriented for "connecting-up" with the Sun. But wait, there are two equinoxes, spring and fall, with similar magnetic geometry. Indeed, studies show that fall is aurora season, too. Geomagnetic disturbances are almost twice as likely in spring and fall vs. winter and summer, according to 75 years of historical records analyzed by solar physicist David Hathaway of the Marshall Space Flight Cente Full report here: [link to science.nasa.gov (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| The Oracle's Cookie
User ID: 76948143 United States09/23/2021 03:35 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks Helios! I appreciate your quick reply. I'm going to look into that link further. Happy Equinox day! :LightONwater: "An evil enemy will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes." – Sun Tzu"...."DO YOUR OWN HOMEWORK!" Thread: Partial crustal shift and the Sun / earth , new EARTH UNDER FIRE video pg 116 Thread: Greatest Secret of the United States, Causes of the Ice Age and Nova, Thread: UPdated Pg.2: Davinci Equinox Code 3:"What the EQUINOX SHADOW Knows"--Equinox Triggers and Solar Micro-Nova. |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 08:35 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Reluctant Pureblood
User ID: 80408535 United States09/23/2021 08:43 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA/SWPC is a SHAM! Quoting: Helios Maximus I hate to be bitching about NOAA all the time but someone has to do it. Arrogance and incompetence is a distasteful combination to me. NOAA/SWPC has declined to number THREE sunspot regions because they lack a penumbra! What kind of horse shit science is this? The spots are clearly visible for 2 days and one region even managed a B2 flare. This makes a mockery of their official Sunspot Number. By my count you could add 39 to their bogus number for today. The 3 three regions in the SW can be seen in this graphic: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] Count the spots for yourself here: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] By the way, AR2873 produced TWO C1 flares, not one. NOAA's BS Discussion-- Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached low levels. Region 2871 (S27E36, Dko/beta-delta) and 2873 (N26W22, Dao/beta) both produced a single C-class flare. Region 2872 (N17E27, Bxo/beta) formed a small, trailing spot but was otherwise unremarkable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. The other spots on the disk in the southern hemisphere lacked clear penumbra, appeared to be decaying, and have not been assigned a NOAA Active Region number. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a 50 percent chance for C-class activity on 22-24 Sep. Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 265 Issued at 0030Z on 22 Sep 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 21 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2871 S27E36 357 0310 Dko 06 08 Beta-Delta 2872 N17E27 006 0010 Bxo 03 04 Beta 2873 N26W22 056 0110 Dao 07 08 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z Sep Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 22 Sep to 24 Sep Nmbr Lat Lo 2863 S16 277 2864 N24 268 First C1 flare from 2873: [link to wwwbis.sidc.be (secure)] Thanks for that info! Helping Humanity is always the Tyrants Alibi |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 08:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 75246624 United States09/23/2021 11:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Another M-flare from Earth-facing 2871. M 1.89 GONG pic from Canary Islands: [link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| muckuh
User ID: 75524480 United States09/23/2021 11:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 11:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 11:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 11:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I believe this is from the first M flare. Still waiting on updates for the new M flare. Wanted to get this in here before the update so we have both. :) https://imgur.com/Gouwz8H~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 75246624 United States09/23/2021 11:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to wwwbis.sidc.be (secure)] SDO image (AIA 094): [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]  The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 75246624 United States09/23/2021 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I believe this is from the first M flare. Still waiting on updates for the new M flare. Wanted to get this in here before the update so we have both. :) Quoting: Simple27 https://imgur.com/Gouwz8HG'day, Simple! I didn't see much of a CME from the M2.8. What little I could see was focused below the ecliptic plane. There was also a far side slow CME at the same time (possibly a filament eruption). CACTus CME List: [link to wwwbis.sidc.be (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/23/2021 12:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 75524480 United States09/23/2021 01:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 75246624 United States09/23/2021 01:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Small CME from the M1 also mostly south of Sun-Earth line. STEREO A images: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)] [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)] As usual a long wait for SoHO data........ AR2871 is decaying but still has a small delta area. [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| The Oracle's Cookie
User ID: 76948143 United States09/23/2021 06:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | with "flare symptom fatigue!" [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] Thanks a 1,000,000 Helios and Simple27 for keeping the updates coming on these flares...man this is wild! The Oracle's Cookie "An evil enemy will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes." – Sun Tzu"...."DO YOUR OWN HOMEWORK!" Thread: Partial crustal shift and the Sun / earth , new EARTH UNDER FIRE video pg 116 Thread: Greatest Secret of the United States, Causes of the Ice Age and Nova, Thread: UPdated Pg.2: Davinci Equinox Code 3:"What the EQUINOX SHADOW Knows"--Equinox Triggers and Solar Micro-Nova. |
| Ostria1
User ID: 80906623  Greece09/23/2021 06:36 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 75246624 United States09/23/2021 11:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 Sep 24 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 2871 (S28E11, Dao/beta-gamma-delta) produced two M flares, the largest of which was a M2.8/1N flare at 23/0442 UTC. Subsequent CMEs were observed after the the flare along with a Type II radio sweep (966 km/s) and a Type IV radio sweep. There is potential for some portion of the ejecta to have an Earth-directed component. Arrival would likely be outside the 3-day forecast period on 27 Sep. Region 2872 (N17E19, Cai/beta) was mostly unchanged since the last reporting period and was inactive. Region 2874 (S23, Lo=047) decayed to plage and nearby Region 2875 (S32W47, Bxo/beta) was also in decay, but maintained a few, small spots. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 24-26 Sep. Solarsoft/SDO close-up movie of M1.8 flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 267 Issued at 0030Z on 24 Sep 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2871 S28E11 356 0210 Dao 05 11 Beta-Gamma-Delta 2872 N17E02 005 0120 Cai 06 15 Beta 2873 N26W48 055 0010 Bxo 09 06 Beta 2875 S32W47 055 0010 Bxo 04 03 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z Sep Nmbr Location Lo 2874 S25W40 047 II. Regions Due to Return 24 Sep to 26 Sep Nmbr Lat Lo 2863 S16 277 2864 N24 268 The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/24/2021 02:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: NOAA forecasters say there is a 40% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms on Sept. 26th when a high-speed stream of solar wind is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from an equatorial hole in the sun's atmosphere. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/24/2021 02:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OFF-TARGET CMEs: Sunspot AR2871 erupted twice yesterday, producing two significant M-class solar flares. Each explosion hurled a CME into space. https://imgur.com/qy1ShTmhttps://imgur.com/GdJdmNwWhen it exploded, the sunspot was almost-directly facing Earth, yet the CMEs are off-target. They are not heading our way. Why not? A large hole in the sun's atmosphere located west of AR2871 is spewing solar wind into space. The emerging stream of gas may have deflected the CMEs. There is still a chance that Earth might feel the effects of these CMEs when they pass near our planet on Sept. 27th. A glancing blow or even a near-miss could be enough to unsettle Earth's magnetic field. Arctic auroras, anyone? [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/24/2021 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| RubyV82
User ID: 80897467  United Kingdom09/25/2021 07:25 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OFF-TARGET CMEs: Sunspot AR2871 erupted twice yesterday, producing two significant M-class solar flares. Each explosion hurled a CME into space. Quoting: Simple27 https://imgur.com/qy1ShTmhttps://imgur.com/GdJdmNwWhen it exploded, the sunspot was almost-directly facing Earth, yet the CMEs are off-target. They are not heading our way. Why not? A large hole in the sun's atmosphere located west of AR2871 is spewing solar wind into space. The emerging stream of gas may have deflected the CMEs. There is still a chance that Earth might feel the effects of these CMEs when they pass near our planet on Sept. 27th. A glancing blow or even a near-miss could be enough to unsettle Earth's magnetic field. Arctic auroras, anyone? [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] Are you guys thinking it could affect the la palma eruption? Maybe make it worse than it currently is? |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/25/2021 01:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| RubyV82
User ID: 80897467 United Kingdom09/25/2021 01:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Are you guys thinking it could affect the la palma eruption? Maybe make it worse than it currently is? Quoting: RubyV82 Not everyone agrees, but I believe it could. Not saying it WILL, but it could. It's all connected.  Thank you simple27  I’m with you on that train of thought for sure! |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/25/2021 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPGRADED GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Earth's magnetic field might receive a double blow this weekend. First, a stream of solar wind is expected to hit on Sept. 26th. Next, a CME might graze Earth during the early hours of Sept. 27th. The combined effect could produce geomagnetic storms as strong as category G2 with auroras visible in northern-tier US states during the night of Sept. 26-27. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| The Oracle's Cookie
User ID: 76948143 United States09/25/2021 04:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Are you guys thinking it could affect the la palma eruption? Maybe make it worse than it currently is? Quoting: RubyV82 Not everyone agrees, but I believe it could. Not saying it WILL, but it could. It's all connected. Thank you simple27 I’m with you on that train of thought for sure! The idea that it is the sun which at least PARTIALLY drives everything from weather to earthquakes to volcanic eruptions is a theory which "citizen scientist" Ben Davidson (from Suspicious Observers dot org--no spaces to find it) has been repeating for many years now. I'm pretty much "on-board" with his theory on this, though of course the mainstream sciences don't ALL agree on this. As far as a G2 Storm coming up this weekend (Sunday/Monday) you may wish to check Ben's "Physical MANIFESTATIONS of up-ticks in solar output and spaceweather (including the occasional strong gamma ray burst (GRBs)...I always check this chart (I have posted it before but this is a good spot to repost it.) EVEN psychological effects and real body-symptoms is also included in Ben's world: :CosmicRAhealth: PLEASE CHECK THIS VERSION OF THE CHART AND TELL ME IF IT IS EASIER TO READ...I THINK THE SMALL PRINT IS GETTING BLURRED AS I BLOW IT UP TO POST--HERE IS A NEW CAPTURE (SAME CHART):  (By the way, the bigger GEO-storms actually DO affect my vision...so not sure the chart is blurry or I AM BLURRY! lol!) TY I'll be watching for this as I am a "sensitive" to geo-storms. The Oracle's Cookie Last Edited by The Oracle's Cookie on 09/25/2021 08:25 PM "An evil enemy will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes." – Sun Tzu"...."DO YOUR OWN HOMEWORK!" Thread: Partial crustal shift and the Sun / earth , new EARTH UNDER FIRE video pg 116 Thread: Greatest Secret of the United States, Causes of the Ice Age and Nova, Thread: UPdated Pg.2: Davinci Equinox Code 3:"What the EQUINOX SHADOW Knows"--Equinox Triggers and Solar Micro-Nova. |
| The Oracle's Cookie
User ID: 76948143 United States09/25/2021 08:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Are you guys thinking it could affect the la palma eruption? Maybe make it worse than it currently is? Quoting: RubyV82 Not everyone agrees, but I believe it could. Not saying it WILL, but it could. It's all connected. Thank you simple27 I’m with you on that train of thought for sure! Yeah...but it is a HUGE QUESTION MARK (just as the actual outline of the volcano's CREST shows it below!) :QuestionMRKlaPal: Isn't that odd that NATURE would make a formation like that--and it patterns after a question mark? Maybe that's where the question mark STARTED FROM? The Oracle's Cookie "An evil enemy will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes." – Sun Tzu"...."DO YOUR OWN HOMEWORK!" Thread: Partial crustal shift and the Sun / earth , new EARTH UNDER FIRE video pg 116 Thread: Greatest Secret of the United States, Causes of the Ice Age and Nova, Thread: UPdated Pg.2: Davinci Equinox Code 3:"What the EQUINOX SHADOW Knows"--Equinox Triggers and Solar Micro-Nova. |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/26/2021 06:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 40488826 United States09/26/2021 06:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AURORAS BEFORE THE STORM: The storm hasn't started yet, but auroras are already dancing over Iceland. Last night, a minor geomagnetic disturbance rippled over the island nation where Christopher Mathews was waiting with his camera: https://imgur.com/Uggusme"I shot this image of the aurora over my house in southern Iceland at about 11 pm," says Mathews. "This is a 2.5 second exposure taken at ISO 2000, with an aperture of f/2.0. " At the time, the planetary K-index was only 2, a low value that usually signifies no auroras. "But local conditions can and do vary, and over Iceland our local magnetic observatory recorded a K-index of 4, much more suitable for a good show!" says Mathews. If the current forecast holds, tonight's K-index could reach 5 or 6, values that represent full-fledged geomagnetic storms. The auroras over Iceland could become very bright, indeed. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 76816392 United States09/26/2021 10:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Two new sunspot regions in the SE were numbered today. Only a handful of C1 flares in the past few days. Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 270 Issued at 0030Z on 27 Sep 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 26 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2871 S28W27 355 0090 Dai 05 10 Beta-Gamma 2872 N17W38 006 0040 Cro 08 07 Beta 2877 S17W00 328 0010 Bxo 04 04 Beta 2878 S23E34 294 0030 Cro 06 06 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z Sep Nmbr Location Lo 2873 N25W87 055 2874 S25W82 050 2875 S33W87 055 2876 S22W24 352 II. Regions Due to Return 27 Sep to 29 Sep Nmbr Lat Lo 2868 S20 230 2866 S19 215 Active Region images: [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels as plage Region 2873 (N25W87) and Region 2871 (S28W27, Dai/beta-gamma) produced C1 flares at 26/0631 and 26/1124 UTC respectively. Slight decay was observed in Regions 2871 and 2872 (N17W38, Cro/beta). Slight growth occurred in Regions 2877 (S17W00, Bxo/beta) and 2878 (S23E34, Cro/beta). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be very low, with C-class flares likely, over 27-29 Sep. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
